五年规划量化指标中期评估方法

发布时间：2018-04-03 02:28

本文选题：五年规划　切入点：中期评估　出处：《技术经济与管理研究》2016年09期

【摘要】：从"十五"规划开始,我国的五年规划都要进行中期评估。其中数量化指标的进度评估由于可以从直观和客观角度反映规划完成情况,受到社会各界的重视。文章致力于研究其中的难点问题。首先回顾了我国五年规划指标体系的变迁,提出了中期评估工作应当关注的重点内容,并基于研究需要对指标进行了分类。其次分析研究了五年规划中期目标的分解,对于不变增长趋势和线性增长趋势的年度指标和累计指标提出了分解办法,对于年度内呈现波动趋势的指标提出了半年任务分解办法,给出了正向指标和负向指标的计算公式以及计算结果的数值区间涵义。最后,以陕西省"十二五"规划中期评估为例,展示了研究提出的各种数据处理方法的使用。
[Abstract]:Starting from the five-year Plan, our country's five-year-plan should be evaluated in the middle-term.The progress evaluation of quantitative indicators has been paid attention by all walks of life because it can reflect the completion of the plan from the visual and objective angle.This paper is devoted to the study of the difficult problems.This paper reviews the changes of China's five-year planning index system, puts forward the key contents of the mid-term evaluation work, and classifies the indicators based on the research needs.Secondly, it analyzes and studies the decomposition of the medium-term objectives of the five-year plan, and puts forward a decomposition method for the annual indicators and accumulative indicators of the constant growth trend and the linear growth trend.A semi-annual task decomposition method is proposed for the index with fluctuating trend in the year. The formulas of the positive index and the negative index are given as well as the numerical meaning of the calculated results.Finally, taking the mid-term evaluation of the 12th Five-Year Plan of Shaanxi Province as an example, the use of various data processing methods proposed by the study is demonstrated.
【作者单位】：西安理工大学经济与管理学院;陕西省社会科学院农村发展研究所;
【基金】：2014年陕西省科学技术研究发展计划项目(2014KJZX2-19)
【分类号】：F123.3

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