中国城市化效率的时空测度及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-05-08 01:08

本文选题：城市化效率 + 时空测度　；参考：《湖南师范大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：城市化是人类的生产生活方式由乡村型向城市型转化的复杂过程。截止到2013年,我国城市人口达到7.31亿,地级以上城市数量增加到283个,但是快速的城市化运动也在人口、社会和环境等方面造成了一些问题：“伪城市化”现象、“造城运动”、雾霾天气等,使得“高消耗、高污染、低产出”逐渐成为我国城市化亚健康的标签。基于此,如何进一步提高城市化质量,促进全方位城市化效率转型,实现具有实质内涵的城市化,是维持城市可持续发展的关键,也是坚持中国特色新型城市化道路的重要战略决策。本文从人口、经济、社会和空间四个方面对我国城市化效率进行深入探讨,主要工作包括以下三个方面：(1)构建城市化效率测度指标体系以及确定影响城市化效率因素；(2)运用PCA-SFA复合效率测度模型对我国266个地级以上城市的城市化综合效率和效率的被影响程度进行测算；(3)分析城市化效率在时间上的演变过程和空间上的分布情况,以及效率的被影响情况。研究结果显示,从纵向时间变化来看,我国四部分城市化效率量值差异较大,经济城市化效率均值最高为0.928,最低的人口城市化为0.568。同时发展速度各异：人口城市化效率呈小幅增长；经济城市化效率保持稳定增长；社会城市化效率增长势头明显；空间城市化效率有所波动。从横向区域分布来看,我国城市化效率值从东到西呈阶梯型分布,东部城市最高,西部城市最低,其中差距最大的是经济城市化效率是2.15个百分点。从变差率γ来看：四部分变差率均超过0.5,说明提升城市化效率在控制影响因素方面存在较大可能性。从影响因素来看,人口城市化效率受到人口密度、政府规模、基础设施和工业规模的正向作用,如人口密度上升1%,人口城市化效率提高0.31%,以及产业结构的负向作用；除政府规模外其他因素均助力经济城市化效率的提高；社会城市化效率受到除人口密度以外其他因素的促进作用；产业结构、基础设施和工业规模对空间城市化效率起到正向影响。基于以上结论,本文从注重平衡发展,资源相互流通,优化监控机制等方面提出了相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is a complex process for the transformation of human life style from rural to urban. By the year of 2013, the population of our city reached 731 million, and the number of cities above the level increased to 283. But the rapid urbanization movement also caused some problems in the population, society and environment, and the phenomenon of "pseudo urbanization", "building a city" "Sports", haze weather and so on, make "high consumption, high pollution, low production" gradually become the label of China's urbanized subhealth. Based on this, how to further improve the quality of urbanization, promote the transformation of the overall urbanization efficiency and realize the urbanization with substantial connotation is the key to maintain the sustainable development of the city, and also adhere to the Chinese characteristics. The important strategic decision of the new urbanization road is discussed in this paper from four aspects of population, economy, society and space. The main work includes the following three aspects: (1) constructing the index system for the measurement of urbanization efficiency and determining the factors that affect the efficiency of urbanization; (2) using the PCA-SFA compound efficiency measure model The influence degree of the comprehensive efficiency and efficiency of urbanization of 266 cities in China is calculated. (3) analysis of the evolution process of urbanization efficiency in time and the distribution of space and the effect of efficiency. The results show that the difference of the efficiency of urbanization in four parts of China from the vertical time change. The highest average of the Economic Urbanization efficiency is 0.928, the lowest population urbanization is 0.568. at the same time. The urbanization efficiency of the population has a small increase; the Economic Urbanization efficiency keeps steady growth; the social urbanization efficiency increases obviously; the spatial urbanization efficiency has fluctuated. From the lateral regional distribution, I see that From east to west, the efficiency of urbanization is a ladder type distribution, the eastern city is the highest, the west is the lowest, and the biggest gap is the Economic Urbanization efficiency is 2.15 percentage points. From the variation rate gamma, the four part of the difference is more than 0.5, which shows that there is a great possibility to improve the urbanization efficiency in controlling the influencing factors. On the other hand, the efficiency of population urbanization is positively affected by population density, government scale, infrastructure and industrial scale, such as the increase of population density by 1%, the increase of population urbanization efficiency by 0.31%, and the negative effect of industrial structure; other factors except the scale of government help to improve the efficiency of Economic Urbanization and the efficiency of social urbanization. In addition to the promotion of other factors other than population density, industrial structure, infrastructure and industrial scale have a positive impact on the efficiency of spatial urbanization. Based on the above conclusions, this paper puts forward relevant policies and suggestions from the aspects of balance development, resources circulation and optimization of monitoring mechanism.

【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F224;F299.2

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