土地市场对城市建设用地扩张的影响——基于285个城市面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-06-15 03:28

  本文选题：土地市场 + 城市建设用地扩张　； 参考：《资源科学》2016年11期

【摘要】：为了研究土地市场发展对城市建设用地扩张有何具体的影响,本文根据中国土地市场的特征构建了两者作用的理论框架并建立计量经济模型,运用中国大陆地区281个地级市和4个直辖市2001-2008年的面板数据,采取聚类稳健标准误差和异方差稳健的豪斯曼检验得到固定效应模型,分别对全国及东部、中部和西部地区的城市进行了回归分析,以揭示土地市场结构对城市建设用地扩张影响的区域差异。结果表明:(1)一级市场成交面积的增加和土地有偿使用率的提高能够明显减缓城市建设用地的扩张,而一级市场成交总价款的增加却会明显促进城市的扩张,与此同时,一级市场成交均价及二级市场流转面积、成交价款和转让均价对城市扩张的影响尚不显著;(2)从区域差异来看,东部和中部地区的一级市场发育都能明显影响城市扩张的进程,而西部地区土地市场的作用则相对减弱了许多;(3)从时间变化来看,一级市场成交面积增长对城市扩张的抑制作用随时间呈波动趋势,一级市场成交价款增长对城市扩张的促进作用则呈逐年波动加强的趋势,土地交易市场化程度的提高对城市扩张的减缓作用也在逐年减弱。
[Abstract]:In order to study the influence of land market development on urban construction land expansion, this paper constructs a theoretical framework and econometric model according to the characteristics of land market in China. Using the panel data of 281 prefecture-level cities and 4 municipalities directly under the Central Government from 2001 to 2008 in mainland China, a fixed effect model is obtained by using the Hausmann test of clustering robust standard error and heteroscedasticity robustness. In order to reveal the regional difference of the influence of the land market structure on the urban construction land expansion, the regression analysis of cities in the central and western regions was carried out. The results show that the increase of the transaction area in the primary market and the increase of the paid land use rate can obviously slow down the expansion of urban construction land, while the increase in the total transaction price of the primary market will obviously promote the expansion of the city, at the same time, The average transaction price and the circulation area of the secondary market, the effect of the transaction price and the average transfer price on the urban expansion are not significant.) from the regional differences, the development of the primary market in the eastern and central regions can obviously affect the process of urban expansion. However, the role of the land market in the western region has been relatively weakened.) from the point of view of the time changes, the restraining effect of the increase in the volume area of the primary market on urban expansion shows a trend of fluctuation with time. On the other hand, the effect of the increase of the transaction price on the urban expansion is increasing year by year, and the slowing effect of the marketization of the land transaction on the urban expansion is weakening year by year.
【作者单位】： 南京大学地理与海洋科学学院;
【基金】：国土资源部公益性行业科研专项(201411006)
【分类号】：F299.23
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本文编号：2020406