甘肃省金融发展对城镇化影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-17 00:28

本文选题：金融发展　切入点：城镇化进程　出处：《兰州大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城镇化的发展对经济和社会均具有积极的促进作用,金融是融资的主要手段,对城镇化的发展有重大推动作用。作为典型的西部欠发达省份,目前甘肃省的城镇化水平还处于初级阶段。为较快推进甘肃省城镇化进程,研究本省金融发展对城镇化进程的影响,对稳步推进城镇化进程具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文基于理论和实证分析来探究甘肃省金融发展对城镇化的影响。在理论部分,先对国内外关于金融发展与城镇化关系的研究做了综述,在此基础上,分别介绍了关于金融发展和城镇化的代表性理论；最后,提出金融发展对城镇化的影响机制,指出金融发展可以通过城镇人口占比、产业结构、人口素质三个方面来影响城镇化进程。在实证分析之前,分别梳理了甘肃省现有金融发展和城镇化进程的程度,到底金融发展对城镇化进程将造成何种影响,还需后面的实证分析来探讨。实证分析部分,先介绍本文选取的金融发展的相关概念和城镇化的相关概念并选取衡量指标；其次,通过建立三个模型,分别探究金融发展对人口城镇化率、产业结构、人口素质的影响；再次,在协整检验和格兰杰因果检验之前先对各时间序列的平稳性做单位根检验,通过协整检验及协整方程、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析来研究金融发展对城镇化进程的影响；最后,得出结论是,金融效率对甘肃省城镇化产生反作用,金融结构和金融规模对城镇化进程起着促进作用,并给出相关建议。
[Abstract]:The development of urbanization plays a positive role in promoting both economy and society. Finance is the main means of financing and plays an important role in promoting the development of urbanization. At present, the urbanization level of Gansu Province is still in the primary stage. In order to accelerate the urbanization process in Gansu Province, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the influence of the financial development of Gansu Province on the urbanization process. Based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper explores the impact of financial development on urbanization in Gansu Province. In the theoretical part, it summarizes the research on the relationship between financial development and urbanization at home and abroad, and on this basis, Finally, the paper puts forward the influence mechanism of financial development on urbanization, and points out that financial development can pass through the proportion of urban population, industrial structure, The quality of the population affects the process of urbanization in three aspects. Before the empirical analysis, this paper combs the extent of the current financial development and urbanization process in Gansu Province, and the impact of the financial development on the urbanization process, which needs to be discussed in the following empirical analysis. Firstly, this paper introduces the related concepts of financial development and urbanization, and selects the measurement index. Secondly, through the establishment of three models to explore the impact of financial development on population urbanization rate, industrial structure, population quality; Thirdly, before cointegration test and Granger causality test, we do unit root test on the stationarity of each time series, through cointegration test and cointegration equation, Granger causality test. Impulse response analysis is used to study the impact of financial development on the urbanization process. Finally, it is concluded that financial efficiency has a negative effect on urbanization in Gansu Province, and financial structure and financial scale play a promoting role in the process of urbanization. The relevant suggestions are also given.
【学位授予单位】：兰州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F299.27

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