德国S通信工程项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-26 03:38

本文选题：海外项目 + 通信工程　；参考：《山东大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：伴随着我国"一带一路"战略的提出,越来越多的企业抓住契机谋求向海外发展,以获取更多的资源和市场发展机会。其中一些知名通信企业更是一马当先,努力朝着国际通信工程的总承包方向迈进,但是由于国际形势错综复杂,各国经济发展水平、法律法规以及自然环境不近相同,这些客观因素就给海外通信工程项目的实施带来了巨大的压力和严峻的挑战。在这种严峻的形势下,若想项目能够成功交付,就非常有必要建立一套完善的风险管理体制,运用科学的风险管理措施与手段,防范风险发生,以及当风险真正发生时能够"把脉开方",采取有效措施将风险造成的损失最大程度控制在项目可接受范围之内,从而保证项目以高标准推进。本文根据项目风险管理理论的相关知识,以德国S通信工程项目作为典型的实际案例,论述并分析项目风险管理中四大主要步骤:风险识别、风险评价、风险应对及监控。从挖掘海外通信工程项目自身特点出发,科学地运用头脑风暴法、德尔菲法识别项目风险,并建立了海外通信工程项目的风险模型。针对风险评价,采用专家打分、层次分析及模糊评价等方法建立此类项目的风险评价指标体系,结合实际案例得出德国S通信工程项目的整体风险水平,并通过评价得出各风险的发生概率以及风险后果损失程度。在完成对项目风险的评价后,按照不同风险等级提出不同的应对策略与措施,并建立风险监控机制,为推动项目风险管理的研究和发展提供实践参考与经验借鉴。
[Abstract]:With the development of Belt and Road strategy, more and more enterprises seize the opportunity to seek overseas development in order to obtain more resources and market development opportunities. Among them, some well-known telecommunications enterprises are at the forefront of their efforts to move towards the general contracting direction of international communications projects. However, due to the complicated international situation, the level of economic development, the laws and regulations, and the natural environment of various countries are not nearly the same. These objective factors bring great pressure and severe challenge to the implementation of overseas communication engineering project. In this severe situation, if the project can be delivered successfully, it is very necessary to establish a set of perfect risk management system and use scientific risk management measures and means to prevent the occurrence of risk. And when the risk really occurs, it can take effective measures to control the loss caused by the risk within the acceptable range of the project, so as to ensure that the project is advanced with high standards. Based on the relevant knowledge of project risk management theory and taking the German S communication project as a typical practical case, this paper discusses and analyzes the four main steps of project risk management: risk identification, risk evaluation, risk response and monitoring. In order to excavate the characteristics of overseas communication engineering project, this paper uses the brainstorming method and Delphi method to identify the project risk, and establishes the risk model of overseas communication engineering project. According to the risk evaluation, the risk evaluation index system of this kind of project is established by using the methods of expert scoring, AHP and fuzzy evaluation, and the overall risk level of the German S communication project is obtained by combining the actual cases. The probability of each risk and the degree of risk consequence loss are obtained by evaluation. After the project risk evaluation is completed, different coping strategies and measures are put forward according to different risk levels, and risk monitoring mechanism is established to provide practical reference and experience for promoting the research and development of project risk management.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F627

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