信息资源产业对国民经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-16 13:05

本文选题：信息资源产业 + 经济增长　；参考：《北京邮电大学》2013年博士论文

【摘要】：随着信息通信技术的发展,越来越多的信息资源可以通过高速的宽带网络进行传播。随着经济走向知识密集和信息丰富,信息资源的创建,采集,管理,处理,存储,分发和访问也逐渐蔓延到广泛的行业,为进一步的创新、增长和就业做贡献。信息资源逐渐成为科研,医疗,教育和社会服务,知识和文化服务以及政府规制的中心,这也刺激越来越多的用户参与并创造新的信息资源。由此而产生的信息资源产业更是成为很多发达国家积极发展的战略性产业。因此,研究信息资源产业对整个国民经济的影响,为信息资源产业健康、快速、高效的发展提供相应的政策建议具有重大的意义。本文的研究思路是从三个层面研究信息资源产业对国民经济增长的影响。首先,研究信息资源产业对经济增长的影响,包括产业增加值和资本存量对GDP增长的贡献。其次,从理论和实证分析两个角度研究信息资源产业对国民经济中其他产业的影响。最后,研究全要素生产率(TFP)对信息资源产业的影响。本文的主要结构如下：第一章为绪论；第二章为相关研究的理论和文献综述；第三章对信息资源产业的基础性问题进行界定；第四章研究信息资源产业对经济增长的影响；第五章从理论和实证分析角度研究信息资源产业对其他产业影响；第六章研究TFP对信息资源产业的影响；第七章总结本文得出的主要结论并提出相关政策建议。首先,对经济增长的基本理论,投入产出的分析方法,TFP的基本理论以及相关理论所涉及的一些基础模型进行了回顾。梳理了国内外与信息资源产业相关的文献,重点是与经济增长,产业结构和经济增长质量相关的研究。通过文献综述发现现有的关于信息资源产业的研究主要集中在对产业基本概念的界定以及相关政策的研究方面。对信息资源产业如何影响经济增长的相关研究十分匮乏,类似的研究主要集中在信息通信技术,信息产业,文化创意产业等领域,而且还存在研究不深入,相关数据的测度不准确等问题。其次,通过文献综述发现,目前无论是学术界还是产业界对信息资源产业还没有统一的界定,对信息资源产业的定义,内涵,边界辨析等基础性问题的研究还存在不准确,不统一的问题。在对相关文献进行梳理的基础上,本文对信息资源产业的定义,内涵,与其他产业的边界辨析等基础性问题进行了系统、全面、深入的研究。本文认为信息资源产业是提供信息资源产品和服务并以此盈利的现代服务业,是重要的国家战略性产业,对我国经济结构调整和产业转型升级具有重要意义,是扩大内需的新的经济增长点。信息资源产业可以分为传统和现代两部分,是信息产业和文化产业相互融合的产物。包括全部的信息服务业,数字内容产业以及文化创意产业,也就是说信息资源产业包括除了相关设备的生产、制造、销售和租赁以外的全部的文化产业和信息产业。在对国际上主流的分类体系进行研究的基础上,本文在理论和统计层面给出了信息资源产业的界定,将信息资源产业分为“信息资源存储与传输业”,“信息资源开发与加工业”和“信息资源交易与服务业”三个分行业,并对产业增加值,就业人数和固定资产投资等重要数据进行了核算。第三,通过测算贡献率和拉动率,研究信息资源产业及其分行业对GDP的直接和间接贡献,结果表明信息资源产业已经具备了国民经济支柱产业的雏形,但其对GDP的促进和带动作用还比较有限。使用计量分析的方法对信息资源产业增加值与GDP和人均GDP之间的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明信息资源产业增加值与GDP和人均GDP之间存在长期的均衡关系,信息资源产业是影响经济增长的重要因素。将信息资源资本存量加入到生产函数中,研究信息资源资本对经济增长的影响。结果表明,信息资源资本与物质资本和劳动力资本一样,对经济增长有持续的影响。信息资源资本每变动1个单位,将导致GDP变动0.1563个单位。但是相比较而言,信息资源资本对经济增长的影响比物质资本和劳动力资本要小得多。第四,使用数学模型在理论层面研究信息资源产业对其他产业的影响。发现信息资源产业可以通过促进创新和技术扩散,增强决策质量,以及减少成本,促进需求来促进其他产业的发展。使用投入产出方法从实证分析的角度研究了信息资源产业对其他产业的影响。使用直接消耗系数,完全消耗系数,直接分配系数,完全分配系数,中间投入率,中间需求率等指标研究了信息资源产业与其他产业关的关联效应。结果表明,我国信息资源产业和其他产业存在密切的关联关系。使用影响力系数,感应度系数,生产诱发额,生产诱发系数和最终需求依赖度等指标研究了信息资源产业对其他产业的波及效应。结果表明,我国信息资源产业对其他产业的波及效应还有待加强。第五,本文使用索洛余值法对1990-2010年间我国信息资源产业及其分行业的TFP进行了核算。结果表明,我国信息资源产业的TFP呈逐渐下降的趋势。主要原因是资本和劳动力投入的增加没有带来产出的快速增长。测算了TFP对产业本身的贡献率,结果表明TFP对我国信息资源产业及其分行业的贡献率较高,说明我国信息资源产业及其分行业的发展主要依靠技术因素的驱动。使用DEA-Malmquist生产率指数对2003-2010年间我国信息资源产业及其分行业的TFP的变动及分解情况进行了研究。结果表明,我国信息资源产业的发展主要依靠技术进步,TFP下降的主要原因是我国信息资源产业在资本投入大量增加的同时,虽然技术进步得到了提高,但是却没有充分挖掘现有资源和技术的潜力以提高技术效率。第六,总结了本文所得到的主要结论,并根据本文的研究提出了相应的政策建议。归纳了本文的创新点和不足之处,并对今后的研究方向进行了展望。
[Abstract]:With the development of information and communication technology, more and more information resources can be spread through high-speed broadband networks. As the economy is moving towards knowledge intensive and informative, the creation, collection, management, processing, storage, distribution and access of information resources have gradually spread to a wide range of industries to contribute to further innovation, growth and employment. Information resources have gradually become the center of scientific research, medical treatment, education and social services, knowledge and cultural services, and government regulation. This also stimulates more and more users to participate in and create new information resources. Thus, the information resource industry has become a strategic industry in many developed countries. Therefore, the research of information resources The impact of industry on the entire national economy is of great significance for the healthy, rapid and efficient development of the information resources industry.
The research idea of this paper is to study the influence of information resource industry on the growth of national economy from three aspects. First, it studies the influence of information resource industry on economic growth, including the contribution of industrial added value and capital stock to the growth of GDP. Secondly, from the two angles of theory and empirical analysis, the paper studies the other industries in the national economy. Finally, we study the impact of total factor productivity (TFP) on the information resource industry.
The main structure of this article is as follows: the first chapter is the introduction; the second chapter is the theory and literature review of the related research; the third chapter defines the basic problems of the information resource industry; the fourth chapter studies the influence of the information resource industry on the economic growth; the fifth chapter studies the information resources industry from the theory and the empirical analysis to the other Industrial influence; the sixth chapter studies the impact of TFP on the information resources industry; the seventh chapter summarizes the main conclusions obtained in this paper and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.
First, the basic theory of economic growth, the analysis method of input-output, the basic theory of TFP and some basic models involved in the related theories are reviewed. The literature related to the information resources industry at home and abroad is combed, focusing on the research on economic growth, industrial structure and the quality of economic growth. The current research on the information resources industry is mainly focused on the definition of the basic concept of industry and the research of relevant policies. The research on how the information resources industry affects economic growth is very scarce. Similar research mainly focuses on the fields of information and communication technology, information industry, cultural and creative industries and so on. The research is not thorough, and the measurement of related data is inaccurate.
Secondly, through the literature review, it is found that there is not a unified definition for the information resources industry in the academic and industrial circles, and the research on the definition, connotation and boundary discrimination of the information resources industry is still inaccurate and ununified. On the basis of combing the phase Guan Wenxian, the paper produces the information resources. The definition, the connotation, and the boundary discrimination of other industries have been systematically, comprehensively and deeply studied. This paper holds that the information resource industry is a modern service industry which provides information resources products and services, and is an important national strategic industry. It is important to the adjustment of China's economic structure and the upgrading of industrial transformation. Meaning is the new economic growth point for expanding domestic demand. The information resource industry can be divided into two parts, the traditional and the modern. It is the product of the integration of the information industry and the cultural industry. It includes all the information services, the digital content industry and the cultural and creative industries, that is to say, the information resources industry includes the production of the related equipment, including the production of related equipment. On the basis of the research on the international mainstream classification system, the definition of information resources industry is given on the basis of the international mainstream classification system, and the information resource industry is divided into "information resource storage and transmission industry", "information resource development and processing industry" and "processing industry". Information resources trading and service industry "are divided into three sub sectors, and important data such as industrial added value, employment and fixed assets investment are accounted for.
Third, by measuring the contribution rate and pulling rate, the direct and indirect contribution of the information resources industry and its sub industries to GDP has been studied. The results show that the information resource industry has already had the embryonic form of the pillar industry of the national economy, but its promotion and driving effect on the GDP is still limited.
The method of econometric analysis is used to make an empirical analysis on the relationship between the value of the information resource industry and the relationship between the GDP and the per capita GDP. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the added value of the information resource industry and the GDP and the per capita GDP, and the information resource industry is an important factor affecting the economic growth.
The information resource capital stock is added to the production function to study the effect of information resource capital on economic growth. The result shows that the information resource capital, like material capital and labor capital, has a continuous effect on economic growth. 1 units of each change of information resource capital will lead to 0.1563 units of GDP change. The impact of information resource capital on economic growth is much smaller than that of physical capital and labor capital.
Fourth, a mathematical model is used to study the impact of the information resource industry on other industries. It is found that the information resource industry can enhance the quality of decision-making, reduce the cost and promote the development of other industries by promoting innovation and technology diffusion.
The impact of information resources industry on other industries is studied from the perspective of empirical analysis. The effects of direct consumption coefficient, total coefficient of consumption, direct distribution coefficient, total allocation coefficient, intermediate input rate and intermediate demand rate are studied. The results show that the relationship between information resources industry and other industries. There is a close relationship between China's information resources industry and other industries. The effects of the information resources industry on other industries are studied by using influence coefficient, induction coefficient, production induced volume, production induced coefficient and final demand dependence. The results show that the effect of information resources industry on other industries in China is also affected by the effect of information resources industry. It needs to be strengthened.
Fifth, this paper uses the solo surplus method to calculate the TFP of China's information resources industry and its sub industries in the past 1990-2010 years. The result shows that the TFP of China's information resources industry is decreasing gradually. The main reason is that the increase of capital and labor input does not bring the rapid growth of output. The contribution of TFP to the industry itself is calculated. The result shows that TFP has a high contribution to China's information resources industry and its sub industries. It shows that the development of China's information resources industry and its sub industries is mainly driven by technical factors.
The DEA-Malmquist productivity index is used to study the changes and decomposition of TFP in China's information resources industry and its sub industries in the past 2003-2010 years. The results show that the development of the information resources industry in China mainly depends on the technological progress. The main reason for the decline of the TFP is that the information resources industry of our country has increased the capital investment in a large amount, although it has been greatly increased. Although technological progress has been improved, the potential of existing resources and technologies has not been fully exploited to improve technical efficiency.
Sixth, the main conclusions of this paper are summarized, and the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward according to the research of this paper. The innovation points and shortcomings of this paper are summarized, and the future research direction is prospected.

【学位授予单位】：北京邮电大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F224;F124.1;F49

【参考文献】