中国信息化发展的地区差距及其动态演进

发布时间：2018-05-20 12:40

本文选题：信息化 + 地区差距　；参考：《软科学》2017年07期

【摘要】：基于中国大陆31个省份2000~2013年的相关数据,采用Moran's I指数、Dagum基尼系数和Kernel密度估计法,对中国信息化发展的空间不平衡性、地区差距及动态演进趋势进行实证考察。结果表明:中国信息化发展呈现明显的空间非均衡特征,东部沿海地区信息化水平最高,西南和西北地区相对落后;样本考察期内我国信息化发展指数的地区差距呈上下波动的不稳定态势,但总体上趋于下降。互联网与移动电话普及率的地区差距均呈显著下降趋势,总体差距逐年缩小。地区间差距是总体差距的主要来源,地区内差距相对稳定,超变密度贡献不断增大;Kernel密度估计显示,中国信息化发展水平逐步提高,两极(多极)分化现象明显减弱,整体分布渐趋缓和,发展成效显著。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of 31 provinces in mainland China from 2000 to 2013, the spatial imbalance, regional disparity and dynamic evolution trend of China's informatization development are investigated by using Moran's I index Dagum-Gini coefficient and Kernel density estimation method. The results show that the development of informatization in China shows obvious spatial disequilibrium, the information level in the eastern coastal areas is the highest, and the southwest and northwest regions are relatively backward; During the period of sample investigation, the regional gap of informatization development index in China fluctuates up and down, but it tends to decrease in general. The regional gap between Internet and mobile phone penetration is decreasing significantly, and the overall gap is narrowing year by year. The difference between regions is the main source of the overall gap, and the gap within the region is relatively stable. The Kernel density estimation shows that the level of information development in China is gradually increasing, and the phenomenon of polarization (multipole) is obviously weakened. The overall distribution has gradually eased and the development has achieved remarkable results.
【作者单位】：南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院;淮阴师范学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71373123) 江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2015ZDIXM007) 江苏省“六大人才高峰”培养项目(2014JY010)
【分类号】：F49

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