吉林省经济发展与生态环境关系研究
本文关键词:吉林省经济发展与生态环境关系研究 出处:《吉林财经大学》2013年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
更多相关文章: 经济发展 生态环境 环境库兹涅茨曲线 协调度模型
【摘要】:自1978年我国实施改革开放以来,我国经济以日新月异的速度在增长,但是目前为止我国仍然是一个发展中国家,我国的经济发展在一定程度上是以消耗自然资源的资源型经济增长方式,这不可避免的带来了生态环境的破坏。作为东北老工业区一员的吉林省,其产业以机械、化工、造纸等为主,,其经济的发展更是以资源、环境为基础。随着可持续发展观念的提出,人们越来越意识到生态环境状况优良与否在相当程度上制约着经济的发展。因此,为提升经济的持续增长,适应全球经济社会发展新趋势和提高综合竞争力。我国政府在2003年10月,提出振兴东北老工业基地的方针。其振兴目标中明确提出增强经济可持续发展能力、提高资源利用效率和基本遏制生态环境恶化趋势。2009年国务院又发布了关于进一步实施东北地区等老工业基地振兴战略的若干意见,第六条又再次强调了要切实保护好生态环境,大力发展绿色经济。2012年是吉林省生态省建设的第二阶段,吉林省的经济与环境协调发展是否已经小有成就?现阶段经济发展与环境质量之间是怎样的关系?在接下来的发展中应该着重关注哪些方面才能更好的发展生态型经济? 本篇论文研究的主要目的是分析吉林省经济与环境之间的关系,即吉林省经济与代表环境的各个指标间是否存在环境库兹涅茨曲线关系?吉林省经济与综合环境质量之间的关系是否符合环境库兹涅茨曲线假定,在符合EKC假定时,其环境与经济友好发展的转折点处于什么位置?以及吉林省经济一一环境系统的协调度达到那个阶段?基于上述研究目标,本研究依据环境库兹涅茨理论和经济一一环境系统协调理论,应用EKC方程模型、协整检验、主成分分析、多元回归和协调度模型构建等方法步骤,实证分析了吉林省经济发展与环境质量之间的EKC曲线关系和协调度值的度量。得出以下几点主要的结论:(1)时序相关图显示工业粉尘排放量、工业烟尘排放量和S02排放量与人均GDP是符合EKC假定。(2)协整检验的结果认为只有工业废气的排放量与人均GDP间的方程通过检验,并且曲线成“U”型。(3)吉林省的经济——环境系统间存在iffC曲线关系。(4)经济系统和环境系统协调度值达到0.9以上处于优质协调状态。 本文将环境库兹涅茨曲线方程和经济环境系统协调度模型结合起来,并将其应用到吉林省的经济和环境关系这一省域研究范围上来。但是本文并没有对影响经济和环境协调发展的各个因素进行分析,这一点需要在后续研究中进行深入分析。
[Abstract]:Since the implementation of reform and opening up since 1978 in China, the economy of our country to change rapidly at the rate of growth, but now China is still a developing country, China's economic development to a certain extent to consume natural resources economic growth mode, which inevitably bring about the destruction of the ecological environment. A member of the northeast old industrial zone in Jilin Province, the industrial machinery, chemical industry, papermaking and so on, the economic development is more resources and environment. With the development of the concept of sustainable development, people are increasingly aware of the ecological environment in good condition and not to a certain extent, restricts the development of economy. Therefore, in order to promote the sustained economic growth, the global economic and social development to adapt to the new trend and improve the comprehensive competitiveness of our government. In October 2003, the revitalization of northeast old industrial base policy. The revitalization of the target. It is proposed to enhance the ability of economic sustainable development, improve resource utilization efficiency and curb the trend of ecological environment deterioration in.2009 the State Council has issued several opinions on further implementation of Northeast China and other old industrial base revitalization strategy, sixth once again stressed the need to protect the ecological environment, vigorously develop the green economy and.2012 is the second stage of ecological province the construction of Jilin Province, Jilin Province Economic and environmental coordinated development is Xiaoyouchengjiu? Between the current stage of economic development and environmental quality is what kind of relationship? In the next development should focus on those aspects in order to better the development of ecological economy?
The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between economy and environment in Jilin Province, the various indicators of Jilin province economy and represent the environment between the environmental Kuznets curve relationship? The relationship between Jilin province economy and the comprehensive environmental quality conforms to the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis, in line with the assumption of EKC, the environment and the turning point the economic development of the friendship in what position? And the economy of Jilin Province - environment system coordination degree reached that stage? Based on the above research objectives, on the basis of Kuznets theory and the economic environment -- environment system coordination theory, the application of EKC model, cointegration test, principal component analysis, multiple regression and coordination degree model construction method and the empirical analysis between economic development and environment quality in Jilin EKC curve relationship and the coordination degree value measurement. The results are as following The main conclusion: (1) the timing diagram shows industrial dust emissions, industrial emissions of soot and S02 emissions and per capita GDP is consistent with the assumption of EKC. (2) the results of the cointegration test that only the industrial waste gas emissions and per capita GDP equation through the test, and the curve of "U" type. (3) the economy of Jilin province iffC curve - environment system. (4) the economic system and the environment system coordination degree value reached more than 0.9 in the high quality coordinated state.
The environmental Kuznets curve and economic environment system coordination degree model combined, and applied to the economy of Jilin province and the provincial environmental relations. But the research scope of this paper does not have the influences of different factors on the coordinated development of economy and environment analysis, this requires in-depth analysis in the follow-up study.
【学位授予单位】:吉林财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:X22;F127;F224
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