山东省对外直接投资的经济效应研究

发布时间：2018-01-06 18:46

本文关键词：山东省对外直接投资的经济效应研究　出处：《山东大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国在加入世界贸易组织后,正加紧实施“走出去”的对外开放战略,鼓励和支持有条件的企业走出国门开展对外直接投资。山东省对外直接投资是我国对外直接投资的重要组成部分,伴随着“走出去”战略的实施,山东企业的对外直接投资步伐也随之加大,研究山东省对外直接投资对母国所产生的经济效应将有重要的现实意义。在全面介绍当前国际直接投资概况的基础上,本文首先从发展阶段、投资规模、行业分布、区位分布、投资主体进入方式等方面阐述了当前山东省对外直接投资的基本概况和特征,得出山东省具备扩大对外直接投资的基本条件。在实证分析部分,本文运用协整分析方法,首次对山东省对外直接投资与经济增长、技术进步、就业间的关系进行了计量分析,发现对外直接投资与经济增长、技术进步、就业间均存在长期稳定的均衡关系；并通过格兰杰因果检验,分析了对外直接投资与经济增长、技术进步、就业间的因果关系,为此建议山东省政府采取更有利的措施鼓励、推动企业积极开展对外投资。除去绪论部分本文共有五个部分,在第二部分对相关研究理论进行了回顾,为研究山东省对外直接投资和山东省经济发展之间的关系提供了理论支持。第三部分主要介绍了山东省对外直接投资的概况。本部分首先介绍了山东省对外直接投资的总体特征,然后具体分析了山东省对外直接投资在区位分布上、行业分布上、投资主体上、进入方式上的特点。第四部分就实证分析所使用的分析方法、模型以及数据进行了说明,首先介绍了本文实证分析所使用的分析方法,包括单位根检验方法、协整分析方法、因果检验法；然后就用到的模型和数据进行了设定和说明。第五部分实证检验了山东省对外直接投资与经济增长、技术进步和就业之间的关系。第六部分为结论和政策建议。
[Abstract]:After China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), it is stepping up its strategy of "going out" to the outside world. Encouraging and supporting qualified enterprises to go abroad to carry out foreign direct investment. Shandong Province foreign direct investment is an important part of China's foreign direct investment, along with the implementation of the "going out" strategy. The foreign direct investment (FDI) of Shandong enterprises is also increasing, so it will be of great practical significance to study the economic effect of Shandong OFDI on the home country. On the basis of a comprehensive introduction of the current situation of international direct investment, this paper first from the development stage, investment scale, industry distribution, location distribution. This paper expounds the basic situation and characteristics of Shandong Province's foreign direct investment, and concludes that Shandong Province has the basic conditions of expanding foreign direct investment. In the part of empirical analysis. In this paper, the co-integration analysis method is used to analyze the relationship between FDI and economic growth, technological progress and employment for the first time in Shandong Province, and it is found that FDI and economic growth, technological progress. There is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between employment; Through Granger causality test, this paper analyzes the causal relationship between FDI and economic growth, technological progress and employment. Therefore, it is suggested that Shandong provincial government should take more favorable measures to encourage it. Promote enterprises to actively carry out foreign investment. Apart from the introduction, there are five parts in this paper. In the second part, the relevant research theories are reviewed. The third part mainly introduces the general situation of Shandong province's outward direct investment. This part first introduces Shandong province's foreign direct investment. The overall characteristics of investment. Then it analyzes the characteristics of Shandong OFDI in location distribution, industry distribution, investment subject, entry mode. 4th part of the empirical analysis of the use of analysis methods. The model and data are explained. Firstly, the analysis methods used in this paper are introduced, including unit root test method, cointegration analysis method, causality test method. Then the models and data used are set up and explained. Part 5th empirically tests the relationship between FDI and economic growth, technological progress and employment in Shandong Province. Part 6th is the conclusion and policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F127

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