长三角地区全要素生产率测算与比较分析

发布时间：2018-03-06 01:18

本文选题：长三角　切入点：经济增长　出处：《宁波大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文将长三角地区全要素生产率(Total Factors Productivity，TFP)作为研究对象，，以区域和产业两个层面为切入点，首先系统阐述了全要素生产率理论，然后对长三角两省一市和全国水平的TFP分进行了测算和比较分析，并以此来探求长三角地区经济增长的源泉和提出相关的问题，最后为长三角经济长远发展提出有针对性的对策建议。在区域层面的分析中，采用以索洛模型为基础的增长核算方法对长三角两省一市1993～2011年的面板数据进行了全要素生产率及其增长率的估算；在产业层面的分析中，采用数据包络分析的Malmquist指数法(DEA-Malmquist)测算了长三角两省一市制造业和服务业的全要素生产率，并分别对其进行了分解。主要研究结论如下： 1、从区域经济增长的角度看，长三角地区整体的全要素生产率和两省一市的全要素生产率均高于全国平均水平；但长三角全要素生产率增长率与全国平均水平相当，技术进步对经济增长的贡献不明显，其中只有上海的平均增长率较高，明显超过全国平均水平，而苏浙则表现一般。 2、在中国经济逐步转型发展的过程中，长三角经济发展取得了很大成就，但是长三角地区，特别是江苏省和浙江省，同样面临着经济增长方式从基础要素积累到生产率推动型的迫切要求。 3、长三角地区制造业全要素生产率增长较为明显，在经济总量中处于举足轻重的地位。将制造业全要素生产率从技术进步和技术效率两个角度进行分解之后，我们对长三角制造业进行考察分析，结果发现，长三角地区制造业的全要素生产率主要是靠技术进步来推动，而技术效率的贡献表现为负增长。 4、长三角地区整体上和两省一市的服务业对经济增长的贡献均较小，服务业资源利用效率不高，虽然技术进步指数平均水平在增长，但是技术效率较低。
[Abstract]:In this paper, Total Factors Productivity TFP (TFP) in the Yangtze River Delta region is taken as the research object, and the theory of TFP is expounded systematically at the two levels of region and industry. Then, the paper calculates and compares the TFP scores of the two provinces, one city and the whole country in the Yangtze River Delta, and probes into the sources of economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta region and puts forward some related problems. Finally, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for the long-term economic development of the Yangtze River Delta. Using the growth accounting method based on Solow model, this paper estimates the total factor productivity and its growth rate in the panel data of two provinces and one city in the Yangtze River Delta from 1993 to 2011. DEA-Malmquist, a Malmquist index method based on data envelopment analysis, is used to measure the total factor productivity of manufacturing and service industries in two provinces and one city in the Yangtze River Delta, and it is decomposed respectively. The main conclusions are as follows:. 1. From the point of view of regional economic growth, the total factor productivity of the Yangtze River Delta region as a whole and the total factor productivity of two provinces and one city are both higher than the national average, but the growth rate of the total factor productivity of the Yangtze River Delta is similar to the national average. The contribution of technological progress to economic growth is not obvious, only Shanghai has a higher average growth rate than the national average, while Jiangsu and Zhejiang have a general performance. 2. In the course of the gradual economic transformation and development of China, the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta has made great achievements, but the Yangtze River Delta region, especially Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province, Also faces the economic growth pattern from the basic factor accumulation to the productivity promotion type urgent request. 3. The total factor productivity of manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta region is increasing obviously, which plays an important role in the total economic volume. After the total factor productivity of manufacturing industry is decomposed from the two angles of technological progress and technical efficiency, The results show that the total factor productivity of manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta region is mainly driven by technological progress, and the contribution of technological efficiency is negative growth. 4. The contribution of service industry to economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta region as a whole and in two provinces and one city is relatively small, and the utilization efficiency of service resources is not high. Although the average level of technological progress index is increasing, the technical efficiency is relatively low.
【学位授予单位】：宁波大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

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