重庆市物流产业发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-18 22:52

本文选题：重庆市物流产业　切入点：地区经济　出处：《西南政法大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：跟随经济全球化的步伐，物流业的发展逐渐实现产业化，在世界各个经济体中发挥着举足轻重的作用。作为中国二线城市中最具发展潜力的重庆市，位于西南中心，拥有发展物流产业良好的条件。近年来，重庆市三大产业发展迅速，各产业的发展也带动了物流产业的发展，在重庆涌现了一批批本土的物流企业，不仅如此，众多世界500强物流巨头也纷纷入驻重庆。虽然物流企业在数量上有突破，但是总体水平与发达国家有很大差距，甚至与国内发达地区相比也尚有一定差距。为了能够客观地认识到物流产业发展的重要性，研究物流产业发展与经济增长的关系就显得格外重要。文章首先回顾了国内外学者对物流产业与经济增长关系的相关研究成果，在此基础上确立了本文的研究思路。然后，对重庆市物流产业的发展进行了定性分析，，找出了重庆市物流产业发展的促进因素以及阻碍因素。接着，运用贡献分析法就物流产业对重庆市经济发展的贡献率和拉动力作了粗略的定量计算，并引出文章要解决的问题：重庆市物流产业与地区经济发展以及三大产业发展到底存在何种关系。文章运用四次回归分析法以及协整分析法得出结果，结果显示：物流产业的蓬勃发展在短期内会在最大程度上促进地区经济的增长；物流产业与第三产业的互动性较弱；在长期内，与第一产业之间关联度较好，与第二产业的互动性最强。基于这些结论，文章给出相应的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Following the pace of economic globalization, the development of the logistics industry has gradually realized industrialization and played a pivotal role in all the economies of the world. As the most promising second-tier city in China, Chongqing is located in the center of the southwest. In recent years, the three major industries in Chongqing have developed rapidly, and the development of each industry has also led to the development of the logistics industry. In Chongqing, a number of local logistics enterprises have emerged, not only that. Many of the world's top 500 logistics giants have also moved into Chongqing. Although logistics enterprises have made breakthroughs in number, the overall level is far from that of developed countries. In order to realize objectively the importance of the development of logistics industry, it is particularly important to study the relationship between the development of logistics industry and economic growth. This paper first reviews the research results of the relationship between logistics industry and economic growth at home and abroad, and then establishes the research ideas of this paper. Then, the development of logistics industry in Chongqing is qualitatively analyzed. The paper finds out the factors of promoting and hindering the development of logistics industry in Chongqing. Then, the contribution rate and pull power of logistics industry to Chongqing's economic development are calculated quantitatively by using contribution analysis method. The paper also points out the problems to be solved: what is the relationship between the logistics industry of Chongqing and the regional economic development and the development of the three major industries. The paper uses the method of four times regression analysis and cointegration analysis to get the results. The results show that the vigorous development of logistics industry will promote regional economic growth to the greatest extent in the short term; the interaction between logistics industry and tertiary industry is weak; in the long run, the relationship between logistics industry and primary industry is better. The interaction with the secondary industry is the strongest. Based on these conclusions, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are given.
【学位授予单位】：西南政法大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F259.27;F127

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