中国产业结构合理化的经济增长效应分析

发布时间：2018-03-20 03:20

本文选题：产业结构　切入点：产业结构合理化　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来，我国经济长期处于高速增长状态，国民生产总值的年均增长率达到了9.8%。但是我国目前的这种经济增长是建立在高投入、高消耗、高污染的粗放型经济增长方式之上的。在当前经济全球化和区域经济一体化的时代背景下，如何实现产业结构的调整和升级，已经成为世界各国面临的一个重要问题。特别是我国的产业结构远没有达到合理化的水平，因此，怎样突破现有的经济发展模式，实现我国产业结构的合理化与经济增长的协调发展，是我们当前所面临的重要议题。本文对产业结构及经济增长相关理论进行了分析和研究，并在相关研究基础上构建了我国产业结构合理化的度量指标。运用1978~2011年我国产业结构的相关数据，对我国产业结构的合理化程度进行了分析，得出了我国产业结构逐步向着合理化发展的结论。进一步运用格兰杰因果分析法对我国产业结构合理化与经济增长二者之间的因果关系进行了实证分析，得出产业结构的合理化促进了我国经济的增长与发展这一结论。最后，根据相关研究成果，分析了中国产业结构存在的问题并给出了相应产业结构合理化改进的建议。本文的最终研究目的是为我国产业结构合理化的变迁提供一定的理论依据，也为全国的产业结构的变迁和优化提供一定的借鉴和引导作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has been in a state of rapid growth for a long time. The average annual growth rate of the gross national product (GNP) has reached 9.8%. However, the current economic growth of our country is based on high input and high consumption. Under the background of current economic globalization and regional economic integration, how to realize the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure, Has become an important issue facing all countries in the world. In particular, the industrial structure of our country is far from reaching the level of rationalization. Therefore, how to break through the existing economic development model, It is an important issue for us to realize the rationalization of industrial structure and the coordinated development of economic growth. This paper analyzes and studies the related theories of industrial structure and economic growth, and constructs the measurement index of the rationalization of industrial structure on the basis of relevant research. Using the relevant data of industrial structure of our country from 1978 to 2011, The rationalization degree of industrial structure in China is analyzed. The paper draws the conclusion that the industrial structure of our country is gradually developing towards rationalization, and makes an empirical analysis of the causal relationship between the rationalization of industrial structure and economic growth by Granger causality analysis. It is concluded that the rationalization of industrial structure promotes the economic growth and development of our country. Finally, according to the related research results, This paper analyzes the problems existing in China's industrial structure and puts forward some suggestions for the rationalization and improvement of the corresponding industrial structure. The ultimate purpose of this paper is to provide a theoretical basis for the change of China's industrial structure rationalization. Also for the national industrial structure changes and optimization to provide certain reference and guidance.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.1;F121.3

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