沈阳市房地产投资与经济发展的协调性分析

发布时间：2018-03-28 09:22

本文选题：沈阳市　切入点：房地产投资　出处：《沈阳建筑大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：房地产业与国民经济各部门之间有着千丝万缕的联系,房地产投资在改善民生,促进社会经济发展方面有着举足轻重的作用,但近年来,沈阳市房地产投资规模越来越大、增速越来越快、结构稍显失衡等情况出现,为沈阳市社会经济的健康良好发展带来了一定的隐患和危机感。这些问题日益受到关注,特别是2008的房地产低迷之后,如何保证房地产投资与宏观经济的良性互动再次成为众多专家学者讨论的热点话题。本文在回顾了房地产投资与经济发展的理论之后,分析了国民经济周期波动、社会投资水平、消费水平、信贷规模和利率、城市化水平以及政府行为对房地产投资的影响。结合《沈阳统计年鉴》及其他相关数据,计算了沈阳市经济发展轨迹以及房地产业对经济发展的贡献度,从而更为全面地解释了沈阳市房地产市场的投资轨迹。随之,结合主成分分析法和控制图原理对沈阳市房地产投资的协调度进行了数值分析,得出沈阳市房地产投资情况基本上从2000年开始逐渐升温,直到2011年,房地产投资与经济发展协调度指数呈现出震荡上升的局面,其中,2003年到2009年,沈阳市房地产投资是与经济发展是互相协调的,即房地产投资的状态处于正常区间。最后,本文从房地产市场投资环境改善、投资结构优化等方面对沈阳市房地产市场的投资情况提了一定的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The real estate industry is inextricably linked with the various departments of the national economy. Real estate investment plays an important role in improving people's livelihood and promoting social and economic development. However, in recent years, the scale of real estate investment in Shenyang has become larger and larger. The increasing growth rate and the slightly unbalanced structure have brought a certain hidden danger and a sense of crisis to the healthy development of the social economy in Shenyang. These problems have attracted increasing attention, especially after the real estate downturn of 2008. How to ensure the benign interaction between real estate investment and macro-economy has once again become a hot topic discussed by many experts and scholars. After reviewing the theory of real estate investment and economic development, this paper analyzes the fluctuation of national economy cycle, the level of social investment, the level of consumption, the scale of credit and the interest rate. The influence of urbanization level and government behavior on real estate investment. Based on Shenyang Statistical Yearbook and other relevant data, this paper calculates the track of Shenyang's economic development and the contribution of real estate industry to economic development. Therefore, the investment track of real estate market in Shenyang is explained more comprehensively. Then, the coordination degree of real estate investment in Shenyang is analyzed numerically with principal component analysis and control chart principle. It is concluded that the real estate investment situation in Shenyang basically began to heat up gradually from 2000 until 2011, the coordination index of real estate investment and economic development showed a volatile and rising situation, among which, from 2003 to 2009, Real estate investment in Shenyang is coordinated with economic development, that is, the state of real estate investment is in the normal range. Investment structure optimization and other aspects of Shenyang real estate market investment situation put forward some policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳建筑大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.23;F127

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