株洲市农民消费对经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-28 12:38

本文选题：株洲　切入点：农民消费　出处：《湖南农业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,受国际金融危机的影响,我国经济增长速度逐渐下降,投资占GDP的比重逐年上升,而投资对经济增长的拉动作用却逐渐降低。同时,消费增长乏力,中国居民消费占GDP比重从1978年的48.8%下降到2012年的35.6%,下降速度世所罕见。为了改变这种局面,占我国户籍人口64.71%的广大农村居民消费市场被寄予厚望。近年来,各级政府不断出台家电下乡、建材下乡、汽车下乡、宽带下乡等各种惠农政策,以便刺激农民消费,激活农村消费市场,拉动经济增长。在我国,由于传统消费观念的影响,加之农村地区长时期收入水平低、收入增长缓慢且不稳定、社会保障条件有限、消费环境较差,农村居民在消费方面比较保守,重节俭、重储蓄的习惯根深蒂固,严重制约了农村地区消费市场的增长。通过怎样的方法改变农村居民消费习惯,激发农村居民消费潜能,扩大农村消费市场,从而带动国民经济健康快速发展,是一个重大的课题。株洲市是湖南省一个重要的地级市,是一个工业城市,同时农村人口占总人口的比例仍然偏高,农村居民约占总人口的比例均高于全省和全国水平,截至2012年末,株洲市人口已超过416万,中心城区人口达120万,农村人口占总人口的比例仍达到40%左右,农村居民消费市场潜力巨大,如果把农村消费市场提振,农村居民消费对经济增长的拉动作用将会大幅增加。本文以株洲地区为主要考察对象,通过对株洲市农村消费现状进行分析,找出其增长缓慢的原因,其次分析株洲农村居民消费对经济增长的拉动作用和影响株洲农村居民消费的诸因素,最后给出政策和建议,以便增加农民消费、促进经济增长。
[Abstract]:In recent years, under the influence of the international financial crisis, China's economic growth rate has gradually decreased, the proportion of investment in GDP has increased year by year, while the role of investment in economic growth has been gradually reduced. At the same time, consumption growth is weak. The proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP declined from 48.8% in 1978 to 35.610% in 2012, which is rare in the world. In order to change this situation, the vast rural residents' consumption market, which accounts for 64.71% of China's household registration population, has been highly expected in recent years. Governments at all levels have constantly introduced various preferential agricultural policies, such as home appliances, building materials, cars, and broadband rural areas, in order to stimulate farmers' consumption, activate the rural consumer market, and stimulate economic growth. In our country, due to the influence of traditional consumption concepts, In addition, in rural areas, the income level is low for a long time, the income growth is slow and unstable, the social security conditions are limited, the consumption environment is poor, and the rural residents are more conservative in consumption, more frugal, and deeply ingrained in the habit of paying more attention to saving. It has seriously restricted the growth of the consumption market in rural areas. How to change the consumption habits of rural residents, stimulate the consumption potential of rural residents, and expand the rural consumption market, thus driving the healthy and rapid development of the national economy, Zhuzhou is an important prefecture-level city in Hunan Province and an industrial city. At the same time, the proportion of rural population to the total population is still on the high side, and the proportion of rural residents in the total population is higher than that of the whole province and the whole country. By the end of 2012, Zhuzhou had a population of more than 4.16 million and a central city population of 1.2 million. The proportion of rural population to the total population still reached about 40 percent. The potential of rural residents' consumption market is huge. If the rural consumer market is boosted, The pulling effect of rural residents' consumption on economic growth will be greatly increased. This paper, taking Zhuzhou as the main object of investigation, finds out the reasons for its slow growth by analyzing the current situation of rural consumption in Zhuzhou. Secondly, it analyzes the pulling effect of Zhuzhou rural residents' consumption on economic growth and the factors influencing Zhuzhou rural residents' consumption. Finally, it gives some policies and suggestions in order to increase farmers' consumption and promote economic growth.
【学位授予单位】：湖南农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F323.7;F127

【参考文献】