FDI对合肥市经济增长影响实证分析

发布时间：2018-07-02 21:54

本文选题：合肥市 + 外商直接投资　；参考：《安徽农业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：经过三十多年的发展,外商直接投资已经成为我国利用外资的主要形式,成为推动经济发展的主要动力,对我国经济的发展做出了巨大的贡献。伴随着经济全球化趋势的不断增强,中国作为全球第二大经济体,越来越多的吸引外商在中国进行投资设厂,如何有效地利用外资促进经济和外贸的发展,成为人们所关心的热点话题。在学术界普遍存在三种看法：一是FDI是经济增长的原因,经济增长对FDI没有促进作用；二是经济增长对FDI有促进作用,但是FDI对一国经济的发展没有正面影响;三是FDI与经济增长互相促进,互为因果。客观的认识经济增长、对外贸易与FDI之间的关系成为经济学研究的重要课题。本文以合肥市为例,使用合肥市1997-2012年的数据,建立计量经济学模型,试图解释经济增长、对外贸易与FDI之间的关系。合肥作为安徽省的省会城市,在招商引资政策方面、区位优势方面以及资金优势等方面具有较强的优势,是安徽省吸引外商直接投资最多的城市,合肥正以快速的步伐向长三角地区迈进而努力。合肥市经济在不断地快速发展,外商直接投资对经济以及进出口的拉动作用日益明显。本文首先分析了合肥市利用外商直接投资的规模、地区来源、行业分布以及投资方式等方面的现状及特征,在此基础上发现合肥市利用外商直接投资的规模在不断地扩大,外商直接投资的质量也在不断地提高。随着改革开放以及国家产业政策的转变,合肥市利用外商直接投资主要集中在第二、三产业。在理论研究的基础上,借鉴合肥市统计年鉴中的统计数据,建立计量经济学模型,分析FDI对经济增长以及对外贸易的关系。通过实证分析得出FDI对合肥市经济增长以及对外贸易发展具有很强的拉动作用,当合肥市FDI增长1%,可以拉动合肥市GDP增长0.859403%；促进对外贸易增长0.16541%。最后在定性分析和定量分析的基础上提出在合肥市招商引资过程中应该注意的问题,并提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:After more than 30 years of development, foreign direct investment has become the main form of utilizing foreign capital in our country, and has become the main driving force to promote economic development, and has made great contributions to the economic development of our country. With the increasing trend of economic globalization, as the second largest economy in the world, China is attracting more and more foreign businessmen to invest and set up factories in China. How to effectively utilize foreign capital to promote the development of economy and foreign trade? Become a hot topic of concern. There are generally three views in academic circles: first, FDI is the reason of economic growth, and economic growth does not promote FDI; second, economic growth promotes FDI, but FDI has no positive effect on a country's economic development. Third, FDI and economic growth promote each other, cause and effect each other. Objective understanding of economic growth, the relationship between foreign trade and FDI has become an important subject of economic research. Taking Hefei as an example, using the data of Hefei from 1997 to 2012, an econometric model is established to explain the relationship between economic growth, foreign trade and FDI. As the capital city of Anhui Province, Hefei has strong advantages in the policy of attracting foreign investment, location advantage and capital advantage, etc. It is the city that attracts the most foreign direct investment in Anhui Province. Hefei is moving forward to the Yangtze River Delta at a rapid pace. Hefei's economy is developing rapidly, and the effect of foreign direct investment on economy and import and export is becoming more and more obvious. This paper first analyzes the current situation and characteristics of the scale, regional source, industry distribution and investment mode of FDI utilization in Hefei, and finds that the scale of FDI utilization in Hefei is constantly expanding. The quality of foreign direct investment is also improving. With the reform and opening up and the transformation of national industrial policy, Hefei mainly focuses on the second and third industries. On the basis of theoretical research, the econometric model is established to analyze the relationship between FDI and economic growth and foreign trade. Through empirical analysis, it is concluded that FDI has a strong pulling effect on Hefei's economic growth and foreign trade development. When Hefei's FDI growth is 1, it can pull Hefei's GDP growth 0.859403and promote foreign trade growth by 0.16541. Finally, on the basis of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, the paper puts forward some problems that should be paid attention to in the process of attracting investment in Hefei, and puts forward corresponding policy suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：安徽农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F127

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