碳排放约束下区域经济发展方式转变研究
发布时间：2018-08-11 15:20
【摘要】：中国经济正处在重要的战略转型期,要实现碳减排的目标,确保经济的长期可持续发展,必须转变依靠高能源消耗为拉动力的经济发展方式。运用跨时间的省域面板数据,测算碳排放约束情况下不同要素对经济增长的拉动作用,一是计量我国不同省(区、市)能源消耗(碳排放)对经济增长的拉动作用;二是在碳减排约束下,以保持现有的经济增长速度为目标,测算消费、出口替代碳排放对经济增长拉动作用的可能性。研究表明,可通过拉动消费年均多增长1%的方式化解实现年均减排3%二氧化碳的目标对经济增长的负影响,以实现经济的稳定增长和碳减排的双重目标。
[Abstract]:China's economy is in an important strategic transition period. In order to achieve the goal of reducing carbon emissions and ensure the long-term sustainable development of the economy, it is necessary to change the mode of economic development that relies on high energy consumption as a pull force. Based on the cross-time provincial panel data, this paper measures the pulling effect of different factors on economic growth under the condition of carbon emission constraint. The first is to measure the pulling effect of energy consumption (carbon emission) on economic growth in different provinces (regions and cities) of our country. Second, under the restriction of carbon emission reduction, the possibility of consumption and export replacing carbon emissions as the driving force of economic growth is calculated with the aim of maintaining the existing economic growth rate. The research shows that the negative impact of achieving the target of reducing carbon dioxide by 3% per year on economic growth can be resolved by pulling the average annual increase of consumption by 1%, in order to achieve the dual goal of stable economic growth and carbon abatement.
【作者单位】： 山东财经大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：山东省软科学一般项目“‘黄三角’低碳生态城市建设动力机制及合作治理框架研究”(项目编号:2013RKB01448) 山东省高校人文社科项目“基于要素整合的低碳生态城市建设评价研究——以山东半岛蓝色经济区为例”(项目编号:J13WG79)的部分成果
【分类号】：F127
[Abstract]:China's economy is in an important strategic transition period. In order to achieve the goal of reducing carbon emissions and ensure the long-term sustainable development of the economy, it is necessary to change the mode of economic development that relies on high energy consumption as a pull force. Based on the cross-time provincial panel data, this paper measures the pulling effect of different factors on economic growth under the condition of carbon emission constraint. The first is to measure the pulling effect of energy consumption (carbon emission) on economic growth in different provinces (regions and cities) of our country. Second, under the restriction of carbon emission reduction, the possibility of consumption and export replacing carbon emissions as the driving force of economic growth is calculated with the aim of maintaining the existing economic growth rate. The research shows that the negative impact of achieving the target of reducing carbon dioxide by 3% per year on economic growth can be resolved by pulling the average annual increase of consumption by 1%, in order to achieve the dual goal of stable economic growth and carbon abatement.
【作者单位】： 山东财经大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：山东省软科学一般项目“‘黄三角’低碳生态城市建设动力机制及合作治理框架研究”(项目编号:2013RKB01448) 山东省高校人文社科项目“基于要素整合的低碳生态城市建设评价研究——以山东半岛蓝色经济区为例”(项目编号:J13WG79)的部分成果
【分类号】：F127
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前2条
1 陈诗一;;能源消耗、二氧化碳排放与中国工业的可持续发展[J];经济研究;2009年04期
2 姚e，
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