化解产能过剩的新思路及对策

发布时间：2018-08-15 19:40

【摘要】：近20年来,投资推动中国经济高速增长,然而过度投资形成的大量供给导致产能过剩,造成众多行业产品供大于求,传统产业产能过剩尤为突出。国民经济增长比例失调、地方政府追求GDP导致粗放型增长方式持续、低水平重复投资、投资产业层次低、投资过热消费不足、出口导向型的扩大外需政策和政府优惠政策都导致和助长了产能过剩。化解产能过剩的新思路及对策为:从外向型经济转为内向型经济、从投资驱动增长向消费驱动增长转型、协调虚拟经济和实体经济发展、以扩大内需化解产能过剩;如果国家创新体系能够在三至五年内攻克汽车、数码相机、电脑、船舶、飞机、工程机械、工作母机、光伏发电、新能源等事关国计民生行业的关键技术并拥有自主知识产权,在民族企业中都应用这些技术,建立起自主创新的民族经济体系,形成完整独立的国民技术体系,顺应中国年轻人就业意愿变化,挖掘银发市场需求,大力发展机器人产业,则中国产能过剩问题就能从根本上得到解决,中国经济也可以继续高速发展二十年!
[Abstract]:In the past 20 years, investment has promoted China's economy to grow at a high speed. However, the oversupply caused by overinvestment has led to oversupply in many industries, especially in traditional industries. The imbalance of national economic growth, the pursuit of GDP by local governments leads to the continuation of extensive growth mode, the low level of repeated investment, the low level of investment industry, the insufficient overheating of investment and consumption. Export-oriented expansion of external demand policy and government preferential policies have led and contributed to overcapacity. The new ideas and countermeasures to solve overcapacity are as follows: from export-oriented economy to introverted economy, from investment-driven growth to consumption-driven growth, and to coordinate the development of virtual economy and real economy in order to expand domestic demand to resolve overcapacity; If the national innovation system can capture the key technologies and own intellectual property rights related to the national economy and people's livelihood in three to five years, such as automobiles, digital cameras, computers, ships, aircraft, construction machinery, working mother machines, photovoltaic power generation, new energy, etc. All these technologies have been applied in national enterprises to establish an independent and innovative national economic system, to form a complete and independent national technological system, to conform to the changes in the Chinese young people's willingness to obtain employment, to tap the demand of the silver hair market, and to vigorously develop the robot industry. Then the problem of China's overcapacity can be fundamentally solved, and China's economy can also continue to develop at a high speed for 20 years!
【作者单位】：国家行政学院经济学教研部;中国人民大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F124.5

【共引文献】