什么绑架了中国实体经济的稳态增长

发布时间：2018-08-24 12:33

【摘要】：中国GDP增幅进入回落、凝滞期,经济学界给出多重解释,其一是"中等收入陷阱"论,其二为"三种红利消失"说,其三曰"反腐风暴"的政治、垄断肃清绑架实体经济。这三种学说的确与中国经济高速增长的下滑有关,但只是外部因素。现行中国实体经济增幅回落的内在因素是投机泡沫的消失,投机资本与投资资本失衡或者说投机程度过高在政治肃贪、要素红利消失外力作用下的投机红利消失绑架了中国实体经济。如果动态考察,挤出泡沫的"绿色GDP"增幅能够稳定在6%—7%的幅度已属不易,为实现中国实体经济的稳态增长,中央政府正在力图重建一系列道德价值标准体系,示范并引导公众行业自治、行业自律,重申并强化市场对资源配置的基础和决定作用,以加速折旧法和国有资产证券化等政策为公众资本转向实体投资和消费构建制度平台。
[Abstract]:China's GDP growth has entered a period of decline and stagnation, and the economists have given many explanations. One is the theory of "middle-income trap", the other is "the disappearance of three kinds of dividends", the third is the politics of "anti-corruption storm", monopolizing the purge of kidnapping real economy. These three theories do have something to do with China's rapid economic growth, but they are just external factors. The intrinsic factor behind the current decline in real economic growth in China is the disappearance of the speculative bubble, and the imbalance between speculative capital and investment capital, or the excessive degree of speculation, lies in the political fight against corruption. The disappearance of factor dividend and speculative dividend kidnapped the real economy of China. If dynamic inspection, the "green GDP" growth rate of extrusion foam can be stabilized in the range of 6- 7%. In order to realize the steady growth of China's real economy, the central government is trying to rebuild a series of moral value standard system. We should demonstrate and guide the autonomy of the public industry, self-discipline of the industry, reaffirm and strengthen the basis and decisive role of the market in the allocation of resources, so as to accelerate the policies of depreciation law and securitization of state-owned assets to build a system platform for public capital to turn to physical investment and consumption.
【作者单位】：山东财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：山东省社会科学规划研究资助项目“山东省实体民资契约关系的团队效率研究”(12CJJJ25)和“环境规制与地方政府激励模式化研究——以山东为例”(13CJJZ02)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：F124

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