上海地区物流产业与经济发展相关性分析研究
发布时间：2018-09-18 15:36
【摘要】：物流业作为国民经济的支柱产业之一，几乎涉及到国民经济的所有产业部门，对区域经济具有重要的促进作用。同时，物流是一个跨行业、跨部门、跨地区的新老结合的产业，现代物流产业涵盖了三大产业的所有领域和部门。 随着整个长三角地区工业化的推进和经济的持续快速发展，物流业作为社会循环再生产的中介产业，渗透到上海地区经济所有领域和社会生活的每一个角落，，其发展水平直接影响当地经济的整体运行质量与发展状况。 本文采用上海地区最近三十年的GDP和物流业生产值（交通运输、仓储、邮政业生产值）数据，根据两者之间的增长率变化和贡献率变化，分析整个经济环境对物流业的影响，以及物流业对上海地区的带动作用。在实证部分，将物流业生产值作为一个变量加入柯布—道格拉斯生产函数模型，研究物流业对上海经济发展的促进作用。再结合灰色关联分析法研究产业结构、居民消费水平、基础设施建设等经济发展要素对物流业的不同影响程度。在前人研究的基础上，利用投入产出表，采用动态分析法定量研究上海地区七年的部门间投入产出数据，进一步揭示上海地区物流产业现状，研究三大产业对物流行业发展的影响，揭示其他产业部门对物流业的依赖度。通过上海地区物流业波及效应与产业关联性的研究，找出物流产业的发展方向与发展中的问题，为物流行业的发展提供实证基础。 最后，提出物流产业要向现代化智能化发展，通过引进和培育相结合建设“大而全”“小而专”型物流企业。上海地区加强物流基础设施建设的同时，更要提高政府相关部门之间的合作意识，打破政策壁垒，提高物流从业人员的专业素质，增加上海地区“软件”的竞争力。
[Abstract]:As one of the pillar industries of the national economy, the logistics industry involves almost all the industrial sectors of the national economy, and plays an important role in promoting the regional economy. At the same time, logistics is a cross-industry, cross-sector, cross-regional combination of new and old industries. Modern logistics industry covers all the fields and departments of the three industries. With the promotion of industrialization and the sustained and rapid development of the economy in the whole Yangtze River Delta, the logistics industry, as an intermediary industry of social circulation and reproduction, permeates all fields of economy and every corner of social life in Shanghai. Its development level directly affects the whole operation quality and development condition of local economy. Based on the data of GDP and production value of logistics industry (transportation, storage, post office) in the last 30 years in Shanghai, the paper analyzes the impact of the whole economic environment on the logistics industry according to the change of growth rate and the change of contribution rate between them. As well as the logistics industry to Shanghai area's driving effect. In the empirical part, the production value of logistics industry is added to the Cobb-Douglas production function model as a variable to study the role of logistics industry in promoting the economic development of Shanghai. Combined with grey relational analysis, this paper studies the different influence of economic development factors such as industrial structure, resident consumption level and infrastructure construction on the logistics industry. On the basis of previous studies, using input-output table and dynamic analysis method, this paper quantitatively studies the input-output data of seven years in Shanghai, and further reveals the present situation of logistics industry in Shanghai. This paper studies the influence of three industries on the development of logistics industry and reveals the dependence of other industries on logistics industry. Through the research on the ripple effect and the industrial correlation of logistics industry in Shanghai, the paper finds out the development direction and problems of logistics industry, and provides an empirical basis for the development of logistics industry. Finally, it is pointed out that the logistics industry should develop to modern intelligence and construct "large and complete" and "small but specialized" logistics enterprises through the combination of introduction and cultivation. While strengthening the construction of logistics infrastructure in Shanghai, it is necessary to enhance the consciousness of cooperation among relevant government departments, break down policy barriers, improve the professional quality of logistics practitioners, and increase the competitiveness of "software" in Shanghai.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F259.27
本文编号：2248352
[Abstract]:As one of the pillar industries of the national economy, the logistics industry involves almost all the industrial sectors of the national economy, and plays an important role in promoting the regional economy. At the same time, logistics is a cross-industry, cross-sector, cross-regional combination of new and old industries. Modern logistics industry covers all the fields and departments of the three industries. With the promotion of industrialization and the sustained and rapid development of the economy in the whole Yangtze River Delta, the logistics industry, as an intermediary industry of social circulation and reproduction, permeates all fields of economy and every corner of social life in Shanghai. Its development level directly affects the whole operation quality and development condition of local economy. Based on the data of GDP and production value of logistics industry (transportation, storage, post office) in the last 30 years in Shanghai, the paper analyzes the impact of the whole economic environment on the logistics industry according to the change of growth rate and the change of contribution rate between them. As well as the logistics industry to Shanghai area's driving effect. In the empirical part, the production value of logistics industry is added to the Cobb-Douglas production function model as a variable to study the role of logistics industry in promoting the economic development of Shanghai. Combined with grey relational analysis, this paper studies the different influence of economic development factors such as industrial structure, resident consumption level and infrastructure construction on the logistics industry. On the basis of previous studies, using input-output table and dynamic analysis method, this paper quantitatively studies the input-output data of seven years in Shanghai, and further reveals the present situation of logistics industry in Shanghai. This paper studies the influence of three industries on the development of logistics industry and reveals the dependence of other industries on logistics industry. Through the research on the ripple effect and the industrial correlation of logistics industry in Shanghai, the paper finds out the development direction and problems of logistics industry, and provides an empirical basis for the development of logistics industry. Finally, it is pointed out that the logistics industry should develop to modern intelligence and construct "large and complete" and "small but specialized" logistics enterprises through the combination of introduction and cultivation. While strengthening the construction of logistics infrastructure in Shanghai, it is necessary to enhance the consciousness of cooperation among relevant government departments, break down policy barriers, improve the professional quality of logistics practitioners, and increase the competitiveness of "software" in Shanghai.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F259.27
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