福兮祸兮：中国是否存在“资源诅咒”

发布时间：2018-09-19 13:54

【摘要】：由于现有文献在资源丰裕程度度量和计量模型的选择上存在不同程度的问题,本文在市级和省级层面上研究了中国是否存在资源诅咒。在市级层面的分析中,我们利用1997——2005年95个地级市或地级以上城市的横截面数据,对“资源诅咒”假说在中国是否成立这一问题进行了再研究。我们的检验结果表明,城市对自然资源依赖的程度与经济增长之间并无显著的负相关关系,传统的“资源诅咒”假说在中国城市层面上不成立。通过设置反映资源丰裕程度的省级虚拟变量,在控制了各种影响经济增长的长期因素以后,我们仍然发现对自然资源更加依赖的城市对省内其它城市存在正向的“溢出”效应。通过进一步的传导途径的分析,我们发现对自然资源更加依赖的城市可以显著促进省内其它城市的工业化进程。在省级层面的分析中,我们区分了资源丰裕度和资源依赖度,研究发现,资源丰裕度本身对经济发展有促进作用,而过度地依赖资源则反而阻碍经济的发展。
[Abstract]:Because the existing literature has different degrees of problems in the measurement of resource abundance and the selection of measurement models, this paper studies whether there is a resource curse in China at the municipal and provincial levels. Our test results show that there is no significant negative correlation between the dependence of cities on natural resources and economic growth. The traditional "resource curse" hypothesis is not valid at the urban level in China. Provincial-level hypothesis is set up to reflect the level of resource abundance. After controlling for various long-term factors affecting economic growth, we still find that cities that rely more on natural resources have a positive "spillover" effect on other cities in the province. In the provincial-level analysis, we distinguish resource abundance from resource dependence. The study finds that resource abundance itself promotes economic development, while over-reliance on resources hinders economic development.
【学位授予单位】：厦门大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.5;F299.2

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