“一带一路”倡议下中国钢铁业产能过剩转移研究

发布时间：2018-05-04 06:36

本文选题：一带一路 + 倡议　；参考：《浙江大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】："一带一路"倡议的提出,使得沿线各国的经济合作趋势增强,这为我国的产能过剩行业提供的了新的发展机遇。以产能过剩问题相对突出的钢铁业为例,分析发现转移钢铁业过剩产能给我国带来了除了化解过剩产能以外的利益,对于"一带一路"沿线国家也有很大的利益,因此我国钢铁业过剩产能向"一带一路"沿线国家转移具有巨大的动力。通过分析我国钢铁业所面临的现有形势,发现"一带一路"沿线各国钢铁需求量十分庞大以及"一带一路"沿线国家的基础设施相对薄弱但是却又强劲的发展势头。因此肯定了我国钢铁业过剩产能向"一带一路"沿线国家转移的可能性,并且提出了我国可以从贸易和对外投资两条路径来化解过剩产能,通过贸易将我国钢铁业过剩产品进行转移,通过对外投资将我国钢铁业过剩产业进行转移。从国外需求拉动角度应用UNCOMTRADE钢铁业主要商品贸易数据进行微观分析后发现,我国向"一路"沿线国家的出口额明显要高于向"一带"国家,因此,我国钢铁业应将"一路"国家以及"一带"沿线的发展中经济体转移过剩产能。从过剩产能海外转移的供给角度,应用经济发展基础指标、全球治理指标、经济自由度指数等制度环境质量指标,综合考虑各国经济发展战略、与中国的产业互补性及政治关系进行分析后发现,我国应在控制投资风险的前提下,向"一带一路"沿线国家进行投资以转移钢铁业过剩产能。基于贸易基础和投资机会,结合"一带一路"倡议要求,有关方面应从基础设施建设、贸易促进及投资平台搭建、增强互信、化解风险等方面采取措施,促进我国钢铁业过剩产能的化解。
[Abstract]:The proposal of "Belt and Road" has strengthened the trend of economic cooperation among the countries along the route, which provides a new development opportunity for China's overcapacity industries. Taking the steel industry, which has a relatively prominent problem of overcapacity, as an example, it is found that the transfer of excess capacity in the steel industry has brought China benefits other than resolving excess capacity, and has great benefits for the countries along the route of "Belt and Road". Therefore, China's steel industry excess capacity transfer to "Belt and Road" along the country has a huge power. By analyzing the present situation of China's steel industry, it is found that the demand for iron and steel is very large in the countries along "Belt and Road" and that the infrastructure is relatively weak but the development momentum is strong in the countries along the line of "Belt and Road". Therefore, it affirms the possibility of transferring the excess capacity of China's steel industry to the countries along "Belt and Road", and points out that our country can resolve the excess capacity from the two ways of trade and foreign investment. The surplus steel industry of our country is transferred through trade, and the surplus industry of steel industry is transferred through foreign investment. From the point of view of foreign demand pulling, it is found that the export value of China to the countries along the "one Road" is obviously higher than that of the countries along the "one Road" by using the main commodity trade data of UNCOMTRADE steel industry. China's steel industry should transfer excess capacity to the "one Road" country and developing economies along the "one Road" line. From the point of view of the supply of excess capacity transfer overseas, applying the basic indicators of economic development, the index of global governance, the index of economic freedom and other institutional environmental quality indicators, and considering comprehensively the economic development strategies of various countries, Based on the analysis of industrial complementarity and political relations with China, it is found that China should invest in the countries along "Belt and Road" in order to transfer the excess production capacity of steel industry on the premise of controlling investment risk. Based on the trade basis and investment opportunities, and in conjunction with the "Belt and Road" initiative, relevant parties should take measures in the areas of infrastructure construction, trade promotion and investment platform building, strengthening mutual trust, and mitigating risks. China's steel industry to promote the solution of excess capacity.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.31

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