安徽省国际物流业发展对国际贸易的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 13:32

本文关键词：安徽省国际物流业发展对国际贸易的影响研究　出处：《安徽大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：安徽省把握建设长江经济带的百年机遇,依靠承东启西接南连北的地理优势,紧跟东部产业转移的步伐,结合自身人力、资源特长实现产业承接,省内经济综合实力得以迈上新台阶。值得一提的是,在产业结构优化升级的新常态下,拉动安徽省经济增长的的外贸经济相较于沿海沿边省份确实是缺乏优势的。能否通过推动国际物流业结构升级服务水平以提升国际贸易竞争力,关乎着安徽省经济能否持续稳步发展。将安徽省定为研究对象目的是分析省内国际物流业与国际贸易的联系。首先,梳理了贸易理论中涉及国际物流、国际贸易相互关系,并阐述了安徽省国际物流产业及国际贸易的发展情况。接着,选取五个国际物流要素并阐述了各自对国际贸易的具体影响机理,这五个指标分别是:港口货物吞吐量、集装箱吞吐量、载货汽车数量、货物周转量里程(包含航空、铁路和公路)、物流信息化。在实证方面,通过格兰杰因果检验定性的验证这五个指标对安徽省国际贸易的存在着长期稳定的联系和明显的Granger因果联系;然后通过Copula函数定量分析五个国际物要素对省内贸易的不同影响程度。最后,在结合安徽省实际情况与借鉴国内外先进经验的基础上,提出国际物流与国际贸易协同发展的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:Anhui province grasps the opportunity of building the Yangtze River economic belt for a hundred years, relies on the geographical advantage of connecting east, east, west and south to north, following the pace of industrial transfer in the east, combining its own manpower and resources to realize industry undertaking. The comprehensive economic strength of the province has reached a new level. It is worth mentioning that under the new normal conditions of industrial structure optimization and upgrading. The foreign trade economy that stimulates the economic growth of Anhui Province is indeed lack of advantages compared with the coastal provinces. Can we promote the competitiveness of international trade by upgrading the service level of the international logistics industry. The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between the international logistics industry and international trade in Anhui Province. First of all, it combs the trade theory involving international logistics. The relationship between international trade and the development of international logistics industry and international trade in Anhui Province is expounded. Then, five elements of international logistics are selected and their specific influence mechanisms on international trade are expounded. These five indicators are: Port cargo throughput, container throughput, the number of vehicles loaded, cargo turnover mileage (including aviation, railway and highway, logistics information). Through the Granger causality test qualitative verification of the five indicators to Anhui international trade has a long-term stable relationship and obvious Granger causal link; Then through the Copula function quantitative analysis of the five elements of international trade in different degrees of impact in the province. Finally, in combination with the actual situation of Anhui Province and learn from the advanced experience at home and abroad on the basis of. The countermeasures and suggestions for the coordinated development of international logistics and international trade are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：安徽大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F259.27;F752.8

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