云南省产业结构转型升级中人力资源开发问题研究

发布时间：2018-01-23 19:13

本文关键词： 云南省产业结构升级人力资源开发误差修正模型　出处：《云南师范大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：云南省“十三五规划纲要”提出构建“开放型、创新型和高端化、信息化、绿色化”现代产业体系,为产业结构转型升级提供方向。构建云南创新型经济、加快产业结构转型,需推进核心和关键技术革新,做强主导产业,促进战略新兴产业、信息产业、绿色产业的发展。云南资源型等传统产业占主导地位,要转变经济发展方式和调整产业结构升级必须加大人力资源的开发力度,提高人力资源数量、改善人力资源质量,优化人力资源结构,为云南省产业结构转型升级提供人才保障。本文梳理了人力资源开发与产业结构转型升级相关文献,总结了与人力资源相关的产业结构升级理论,分析了云南省产业结构演进特征与人力资源开发现状。本文主要运用经济学理论和人力资源理论,探讨了云南省产业结构转型升级与人力资源开发间的关系,并采用误差修正(ECM)模型从人力资源存量、内部结构与人力资源分布结构两方面测度了对产业结构转型升级的影响。进一步研究了在产业结构转型升级背景下云南省人力资源配置的特征,基于灰色预测理论GM(1,1)模型,根据云南省2011—2015年三次产业从业人员数量运用excel对2016—2020年的人力资源供给进行预测;由回归预测法对云南省1996—2015年区域GDP数据进行回归分析,预测2016—2020年人力资源需求;比较未来五年内人力资源供需缺口变化情况,为调整人力资源配置方向和水平提供依据。根据当前云南省在产业结构升级背景下人力资源开发存在问题和原因分析,结合云南产业结构发展现状提出了人力资源开发途径。本文旨在通过人力资源开发,促进区域产业结构转型升级,构建云南创新型经济。
[Abstract]:Yunnan Province "the 13th Five-Year Plan outline" proposed to build "open, innovative and high-end, information, green" modern industrial system, for the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure to provide a direction for the construction of Yunnan innovative economy. To accelerate the transformation of industrial structure, it is necessary to promote the innovation of core and key technologies, strengthen the leading industries, promote the development of strategic emerging industries, information industries and green industries. In order to change the mode of economic development and adjust the upgrading of industrial structure, we must strengthen the development of human resources, improve the quantity of human resources, improve the quality of human resources, and optimize the structure of human resources. This paper reviews the related literature on human resource development and industrial structure transformation and upgrading, and summarizes the theory of industrial structure upgrading related to human resources. This paper analyzes the evolution characteristics of industrial structure and the current situation of human resource development in Yunnan Province. This paper mainly discusses the relationship between the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure and human resource development in Yunnan Province by using the theory of economics and human resources. And the error correction ECM) model is used from the human resources stock. Internal structure and human resource distribution structure measure the impact on the industrial structure transformation and upgrading, and further study the characteristics of human resources allocation in Yunnan Province under the background of industrial structure transformation and upgrading. The model is based on the grey prediction theory. According to the number of employees in Yunnan province from 2011-2015 to 2016-2020, using excel to forecast the supply of human resources; The regression analysis of regional GDP data from 1996 to 2015 in Yunnan Province was carried out by regression forecasting method to forecast the human resource demand in 2016-2020. Compare the changes of human resource supply and demand gap in the next five years. In order to adjust the direction and level of human resource allocation, the paper analyzes the existing problems and causes of human resource development in Yunnan Province under the background of industrial structure upgrading. Combined with the present situation of Yunnan's industrial structure, this paper puts forward the way of human resource development, which aims at promoting the transformation and upgrading of regional industrial structure and constructing Yunnan's innovative economy through the development of human resources.
【学位授予单位】：云南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F121.3;F249.27

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