“留守”对西部农村儿童学业发展的影响——基于倾向分数配对模型的估计

发布时间：2019-05-14 06:14

【摘要】：由于城乡二元结构以及区域人口的流动,留守儿童问题将长期存在。教育部门在推进"促进公平、提高质量"这一教育目标实现的过程中,必须重视和保障留守儿童的学业发展。而首先要做的是开展更多精细化的研究,加强对问题本身的动态监测,准确掌握"留守"对儿童学业发展影响的真实信息,这是把握问题、科学决策的基础。纵观已有研究,大多缺乏精细化研究设计,所得结论存在偏差。本文利用BEWAMS数据库,基于准实验的研究设计,建立倾向分数配对模型,准确测量了"留守"因素对西部农村儿童学业发展所产生影响的因果效应,发现"留守"对潜在留守儿童群体的消极影响可能更大,在此基础上,提出了解决留守儿童学业问题的主要政策启示。
[Abstract]:Due to the dual structure of urban and rural areas and the movement of regional population, the problem of left-behind children will exist for a long time. In the process of promoting the realization of the educational goal of "promoting fairness and improving quality", the education department must attach importance to and ensure the academic development of left-behind children. The first thing to do is to carry out more fine research, strengthen the dynamic monitoring of the problem itself, and accurately grasp the real information of the impact of "left-behind" on children's academic development, which is the basis of grasping the problem and making scientific decisions. Throughout the existing research, most of the lack of fine research design, the conclusions are biased. In this paper, based on BEWAMS database and quasi-experimental research design, a tendency score pairing model is established to accurately measure the causality of the influence of "left-behind" factors on the academic development of rural children in western China. It is found that the negative influence of "left-behind" on the group of potential left-behind children may be greater. On this basis, the main policy implications to solve the academic problems of left-behind children are put forward.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学中国教育政策研究院;
【基金】：世界银行贷款、英国政府赠款“西部地区基础教育发展项目”影响力评价项目的部分研究成果
【分类号】：G525

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