DCSD项目的经济评价与风险研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 18:22

本文关键词：DCSD项目的经济评价与风险研究　出处：《电子科技大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2013年,我国的GDP总量为568,845亿元,比上年增长7.7%。其中,全年房地产开发投资86,013亿元,比上年增长19.8%。房地产开发投资总额占全年GDP总额的15.12%,标志着房地产业在宏观经济中的支柱地位己经确立起来。随着国家新型城镇化和工业化的进一步发展,房地产业也呈现出地区房地产投资“过热”的态势,各地竞相建造新城导致出现大量“鬼城”。导致上述现象的根本原因在于对项目的经济评价和风险研究流于形式。同时,房地产行业和市场正面临着前所未有的挑战。房地产行业经过十余年的高速发展,未来十年的发展速度必定会有所调整。国家宏观经济政策的调整和产业转型的要求,广受民众期待的民生住房的需求,均导致了国家对房地产市场的严厉调控,房地产市场已经发生了微妙的变化。虽然地方政府及地方经济很大程度对房地产有着极强的依赖,但是不可否定的是,房地产行业很有可能步入成熟期。房地产市场将面临市场增长放缓或停止、利润率下降、市场竞争加剧等等挑战。因此,加强项目的经济评价与风险研究工作,对于房地产项目的成败具有重大意义。首先,在绪论部分,本文阐述了项目经济评价及风险管理的研究现状和本文的研究意义,描述了研究对象的实施过程。实施过程主要包括项目拓展与论证阶段、项目策划阶段、设计阶段、施工/销售阶段、售后服务阶段等五部分的内容。其次,本文在第二章回顾了相关理论成果,为项目的经济评价和风险研究工作提供了理论依据。最后,本文通过实地调查法、文献法和案例研究法,对项目进行了经济评价和风险研究。本文针对房地产项目的特点,在项目经济评价部分,对项目的盈利能力、偿债能力、财务生存能力进行分析并做出评价;在项目的风险研究部分,对项目进行了风险识别和风险分析,并以此为基础,提供了应对上述风险的计划和措施。本文以DCSD项目为案例进行的经济评价和风险研究,使得项目投资的经济效益及风险管理取得了良好的效果,为同类项目的开发提供了很好的借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:In 2013, the total GDP of China was 568, 84.5 billion yuan, up 7. 7% over the previous year, of which, the investment in real estate development in the whole year was 86, 1.3 billion yuan. The total investment in real estate development accounted for 15.12% of the total GDP for the whole year. With the further development of the new urbanization and industrialization, the real estate industry also presents the situation of "overheating" of the regional real estate investment. The race to build a new city leads to the emergence of a large number of "ghost city". The root cause of the above phenomenon lies in the economic evaluation of the project and risk research is a formality. At the same time. The real estate industry and the market are facing unprecedented challenges. After more than 10 years of rapid development of the real estate industry. In the next decade, the speed of development will be adjusted. The adjustment of national macroeconomic policy and the demand of industrial transformation, the demand of people's livelihood housing, have led to the strict regulation and control of the real estate market. The real estate market has undergone subtle changes. Although the local government and local economy to a large extent have a strong dependence on real estate, but there is no denying that. The real estate industry is likely to enter a mature period. The real estate market will face the challenges of slowing down or stopping the market growth, declining profit margin, intensifying market competition and so on. Therefore, strengthen the economic evaluation and risk research work of the project. For the success or failure of real estate projects is of great significance. First, in the introduction part, this paper describes the project economic evaluation and risk management research status and significance of this paper. Describes the implementation process of the research object. The implementation process mainly includes the project expansion and demonstration phase, the project planning phase, the design phase, the construction / sales phase, the after-sales service phase and other five parts. Secondly. In the second chapter, this paper reviews the relevant theoretical results, which provides a theoretical basis for the project economic evaluation and risk research. Finally, this paper through field investigation, literature and case study method. According to the characteristics of the real estate project, this paper analyzes and evaluates the profitability, solvency and financial viability of the project in the part of economic evaluation of the project. In the risk research part of the project, the risk identification and risk analysis of the project are carried out, and on this basis. The economic evaluation and risk research based on DCSD project make the economic benefit and risk management of project investment achieve good results. For the development of similar projects to provide a good reference.
【学位授予单位】：电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F272.5;F299.23

【共引文献】