2013～2014年经济形势分析与展望——我国经济已进入7%～8%的增长区间

发布时间：2018-01-20 08:40

本文关键词： 宏观经济形势分析展望增长区间稳中求进　出处：《经济学动态》2014年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：进入2013年以后,经济增长始终在7%~8%区间波动,主要是稳增长政策的综合成效。在政策引导和经济基本面支持下,我国经济已经进入7%~8%的增长区间。外部环境仍不稳定,增加出口困难较大;受房地产市场波动、资金来源制约影响,投资存在下行压力;未来经济增长仍存在下行压力。应预留财政货币政策相机抉择、调整的空间,视就业等方面形势,适度下调经济增长底线;围绕新型城镇化、化解过剩产能,加快转变政府职能,加快完善财产责任约束机制,积极构筑和巩固经济增长的新基础。
[Abstract]:Since 2013, economic growth has fluctuated in the range of 7% or 8%, mainly because of the comprehensive effect of the policy of stable growth, supported by policy guidance and economic fundamentals. China's economy has entered a growth range of 7% or 8%. The external environment is still unstable and it is difficult to increase exports. Affected by the fluctuation of the real estate market and the restriction of the source of funds, there is downward pressure on the investment. There is still downward pressure on the future economic growth. We should reserve fiscal and monetary policy to choose, adjust the space, depending on employment and other aspects of the situation, moderate downward economic growth bottom line; In order to build and consolidate the new foundation of economic growth, we should focus on new urbanization, resolve excess production capacity, speed up the transformation of government functions, speed up the improvement of the restraint mechanism of property responsibility.
【作者单位】：国务院发展研究中心宏观经济研究部;
【分类号】：F124
【正文快照】： —、2013年:经济增长在7%?8% 区间的调整稳定之年进人2013年以后,经济增长始终在7%?8%区间波动(见图1)。其中1?2季度连续小幅回落,3季度回升,4季度预计又有小幅回落(本文中数据,月度数据来自国家统计局月度统计报告;季度和年度数据来自国家统计局季度、年度统计报告)。 ( )

【相似文献】