中部地区省会城市房地产与城市经济系统耦合协调研究

发布时间：2018-02-09 18:19

本文关键词： 耦合协调协调度颉颃滞后 GM( )　出处：《资源开发与市场》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为促进房地产与城市经济良性互动、协调发展,借用耦合协调模型和GM(1,1)模型对我国中部地区省会城市房地产与城市经济耦合协调度进行了动态分析与预测。结果表明:(1)2005—2014年城市经济系统得分、增速均较高,城市经济系统发展领先。(2)从耦合关系来看,所有城市均处于颉颃阶段,即将进入磨合阶段。(3)从耦合协调关系来看,中部省会城市整体处于轻度失调发展,即将达到勉强协调,城市经济相对滞后。(4)根据协调度及值,将城市划分为轻度失调发展城市经济系统滞后、轻度失调发展房地产系统滞后、濒临失调发展城市经济滞后三类。(5)2020年中部地区省会城市将形成武汉优质协调,郑州良好协调,长沙、合肥中级协调,太原、南昌勉强协调的格局。
[Abstract]:In order to promote the positive interaction between real estate and urban economy, By using the coupled coordination model and GMGM1Q1) model, the paper makes a dynamic analysis and prediction on the degree of coupling coordination between real estate and urban economy in the provincial capital cities of central China. The results show that the urban economic system score of the year 2005-2014 is higher and the growth rate is higher. From the point of view of the coupling relationship, all cities are in the antagonistic stage, and will soon enter the running-in stage. According to the coupling and coordination relationship, the central provincial capital city as a whole is in a slight imbalance and is about to achieve barely coordinated development. According to the coordination degree and value, the city is divided into slight maladjustment development city economic system lag, slight maladjustment development real estate system lag, In 2020, the provincial capital cities in central China will form a pattern of high-quality coordination in Wuhan, good coordination in Zhengzhou, intermediate coordination in Changsha, Hefei, Taiyuan and Nanchang.
【作者单位】：华中农业大学公共管理学院;华中农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金资助项目“城市弱势群体的住房保障制度研究”(编号:10CGL080);国家社会科学基金资助项目“保障房建设的社会空间效应、形成机制与福利测度研究”(编号:12CGL092)
【分类号】：F299.27

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