对现行房地产调控政策的分析研究

发布时间：2018-03-17 08:12

本文选题：房地产市场　切入点：理性预期　出处：《山西财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：房地产业作为国民经济的支柱性产业不仅对国民经济的增长有着不可替代的推动作用，而且和普通老百姓的生活息息相关，是有关国计民生的重要产业。一旦房地产市场出现问题而导致崩盘，会动摇目前国民经济的根基，也会严重影响社会普通居民的日常生活，因此，对房地产市场调控问题的研究就非常有意义。本文首先从房地产市场的一些基础知识出发，叙述房地产市场的重要性以及当前存在的一些问题，说明对其调控的必要性。然后回顾了历年的一些调控政策，运用理性预期理论分析政策失效的原因。最后结合国外的调控经验提出对当前调控的看法。本文认为当前房地产调控政策失效的一个主要原因是政府的立场不够坚定，在保民生和促增长之间来回摇摆，出现政策的动态不一致性，理性的民众从而形成房价不会下跌的预期，从而导致房地产调控政策的失效。本文认为要彻底解决房地产市场中出现的问题，政府一定要明确调控的目的，坚决贯彻执行调控政策，同时解决流动性过剩和地方政府过分依赖土地财政两个重要问题，根据市场情况增加土地供给，加大保障房建设力度。
[Abstract]:As a pillar industry of the national economy, the real estate industry not only plays an irreplaceable role in promoting the growth of the national economy, but also is closely related to the lives of ordinary people. It is an important industry related to the national economy and the people's livelihood. Once the real estate market goes into trouble and leads to a collapse, it will shake the foundation of the current national economy and will seriously affect the daily life of the ordinary residents of society. It is of great significance to study the regulation and control of the real estate market. Firstly, from some basic knowledge of the real estate market, this paper describes the importance of the real estate market and some existing problems. This paper explains the necessity of regulating and controlling it, then reviews some policies of regulation and control over the years, analyzes the reasons for the failure of the policy by using the theory of rational expectation, and finally puts forward some views on the current regulation and control combined with the experience of foreign regulation and control. This paper holds that one of the main reasons for the failure of the current real estate regulation policy is that the government's position is not firm enough, and the government is swinging back and forth between protecting the people's livelihood and promoting growth, and there is a policy dynamic inconsistency. Rational people thus form the expectation that house prices will not fall, thus leading to the invalidation of real estate regulation and control policies. This article believes that in order to thoroughly solve the problems in the real estate market, the government must make clear the purpose of regulation and control. We must resolutely carry out the policy of regulation and control, at the same time solve the two important problems of excess liquidity and excessive reliance on land finance by local governments, increase the supply of land according to market conditions, and intensify the construction of indemnificatory apartment.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F123.16;F299.23

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