新常态下我国经济发展路径依赖的特征及成因

发布时间：2018-04-29 01:08

本文选题：新常态 + 路径依赖　；参考：《甘肃社会科学》2017年01期

【摘要】：经过多年发展,我国已进入经济发展中高速的新常态。要想实现经济运行的更优效率、更好质量和更高形态,需要深入剖析现阶段我国经济发展的路径依赖问题。通过相关数据分析,2014—2016年我国经济增速稳定,结构渐进优化,创新驱动日益显现,然而高投资、高储蓄、出口导向战略、劳动力危机、房地产依赖和自然资源高代价仍是新形势下经济发展路径依赖的主要特征。缺乏制度变迁的路径依赖造成经济发展效率低下、营利性不足。通过经济体制、利益集团、产权、社会初始条件、沉没成本、非正式制度和不完全市场等方面分析新常态下我国经济发展路径依赖的原因,提出了破解路径依赖的具体途径。只有纠正偏离正确轨道的路径依赖,才能使制度变迁进入良性循环,从而形成制度对经济的积极促进作用。
[Abstract]:After years of development, China has entered a high-speed economic development in the new normal. In order to achieve better efficiency, better quality and higher form of economic operation, it is necessary to deeply analyze the path dependence problem of economic development in China at this stage. Through the analysis of relevant data, China's economic growth rate is stable, its structure is gradually optimizing, and the driving force of innovation is becoming increasingly apparent from 2014-2016. However, high investment, high savings, export-oriented strategy, labor crisis, Real estate dependence and high cost of natural resources are still the main characteristics of economic development path dependence under the new situation. The lack of path dependence on institutional changes leads to inefficient economic development and insufficient profitability. This paper analyzes the reasons of path dependence of China's economic development under the new normal condition from the aspects of economic system, interest group, property right, social initial condition, sunk cost, informal institution and incomplete market, and puts forward some concrete ways to solve the path dependence. Only by correcting the path dependence that deviates from the correct track can institutional changes enter a virtuous circle and form the positive role of institution in promoting the economy.
【作者单位】：西北工业大学管理学院;
【分类号】：F124

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