“云顶蓝山”小区建设项目全生命周期风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-05-05 06:44

本文选题：风险评价 + 全生命周期　；参考：《哈尔滨工程大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：房地产项目建设周期长，投入资金规模大，且受国家政策影响大。在建设过程中不确定因素较多，风险相对于其他工程类项目的风险也大很多。所以对房地产建设项目实施科学有效的项目风险管理，提升项目的抗风险能力具有非常重要的现实意义，是确保项目顺利建设实施，实现项目收益的关键所在。论文以“云顶蓝山”小区项目为研究对象，分析了项目风险管理的现状，提出了项目风险管理存在的问题，针对项目风险管理的实际需求实施了项目的全生命周期风险管理。首先从项目的投资决策、设计、招投标、施工、竣工租售各个阶段全面分析了“云顶蓝山”小区项目全生命周期风险，识别出出各阶段项目潜在的风险因素，分析项目的风险来源。然后构建了项目风险评价的指标体系，利用模糊综合评价法对项目整体和各阶段的风险进行了定性评价，对项目整体的风险进行判定，并分析各个建设阶段的风险水平，找出风险较为集中的阶段。在风险识别和评价的基础上，，论文针对项目各阶段的风险因素制定了应对策略和具体的措施，提高项目的风险应对能力，降低风险发生的概率，避免或减少风险事件造成的损失。同时，为保障项目全生命周期风险管理工作的有效开展，提升项目风险管理的实际效果。论文针对“云顶蓝山”小区项目风险管理实施的具体情况，制定了相应的保障措施，具体从思想、人员、技术等几个方面确保项目全生命周期风险管理的工作的有效进行。从而进一步完善项目的全生命周期风险管理体系，提高项目的风险管理水平，保障项目的顺利实施，完成项目的建设目标。
[Abstract]:The real estate project construction cycle is long, the investment scale is large, and by the national policy influence. There are many uncertain factors in the construction process, and the risk is much greater than that of other engineering projects. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to implement scientific and effective project risk management to the real estate construction project and to enhance the anti-risk ability of the project, which is the key to ensure the smooth implementation of the project and realize the project income. This paper takes the project of "Yunding Blue Mountain" as the research object, analyzes the present situation of project risk management, puts forward the existing problems of project risk management, and implements the whole life cycle risk management of the project according to the actual demand of project risk management. First of all, from the investment decision, design, bidding, construction, completion of the lease and sale of each stage of the project comprehensive analysis of the "Yunding Blue Mountain" project life cycle risk, identify the potential risk factors of each stage of the project, Analyze the risk sources of the project. Then, the index system of project risk evaluation is constructed, the risk of the whole project and each stage is evaluated qualitatively by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, the risk of the whole project is judged, and the risk level of each construction stage is analyzed. Identify the stages at which the risks are more concentrated. On the basis of risk identification and evaluation, the paper formulates the coping strategies and specific measures for the risk factors in each stage of the project, improves the risk response ability of the project, and reduces the probability of risk occurrence. To avoid or reduce the loss caused by a risk event. At the same time, in order to ensure the effective development of the whole project life cycle risk management, improve the actual effect of project risk management. According to the concrete situation of the project risk management in Yunding Blue Mountain district, the paper makes the corresponding safeguard measures, which can ensure the effective implementation of the risk management in the whole life cycle of the project from the aspects of thought, personnel, technology and so on. In order to further improve the whole life cycle risk management system of the project, improve the risk management level of the project, ensure the smooth implementation of the project, and complete the project construction objectives.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工程大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：TU712

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