不同地区房地产销售与经济增长的关系研究——基于全国35个大中城市面板数据

发布时间：2018-05-17 08:27

本文选题：不同地区 + 房地产销售　；参考：《工程经济》2016年10期

【摘要】：通过建立房地产销售额与经济增长的逻辑分析框架,探讨我国不同地区房地产销售对经济增长的作用机理,并利用2000~2012年中国35个大中城市面板数据相继进行平稳性、协整性和格兰杰因果检验,最终建立固定效应回归模型。研究发现:1东部地区和中部地区房地产销售对该地区的经济增长具有单向因果关系,西部地区房地产销售与经济增长关系不显著;2东部地区和中部地区房地产销售额的弹性系数分别为0.60和0.54,而西部地区房地产销售额的弹性系数为0.24。因此,在各地区的房地产销售对经济增长影响大小存在明显差异的情况下,各地区制定经济发展规划时,应该考虑该地区房地产业的影响机制,并进行相应调控。
[Abstract]:Through establishing the logical analysis frame of real estate sales and economic growth, this paper discusses the mechanism of real estate sales on economic growth in different regions of China, and makes use of the panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2000 to 2012 to carry on the steady performance one after another. Cointegration and Granger causality test are used to establish a fixed effect regression model. The study found that real estate sales in the eastern and central parts of the region have a one-way causal relationship to economic growth in the region. The elasticity coefficient of real estate sales in eastern and central regions is 0.60 and 0.54 respectively, while the elasticity coefficient of real estate sales in western region is 0.24. Therefore, when there are obvious differences in the impact of real estate sales on economic growth in different regions, the influence mechanism of real estate industry in this region should be taken into account when formulating the economic development plan in each region, and the corresponding adjustment and control should be carried out.
【作者单位】：南京财经大学公共管理学院;上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：F299.23;F124.1

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