基于Stackelberg微分博弈的经济适用住房定价机制研究

发布时间：2018-06-19 16:06

本文选题：经济适用住房 + 定价机制　；参考：《昆明理工大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：经济适用住房存废之争的学术讨论和社会舆论日益激烈,尤其是经济适用住房的定价问题广受质疑。研究的目的旨在探索经济适用住房的定价机制。研究主要采用理论与实证研究、定性与定量研究相结合的方法。研究拟采用微分博弈模型,模拟经济适用住房定价参与主体的经济行为,阐释经济适用住房定价机制的合理性。研究结果是经济适用住房价格的形成机制,取决于地方政府和房地产开发商之间长期的博弈过程,政府不可能无限补偿,开发商也不乐意建造大量的经济适用住房,其价格逐步趋于均衡,模拟结果符合实际。研究结论是地方政府采取的激励强度和房地产开发商的利润追求动力驱动了经济适用住房的定价过程,经济适用住房不能废弃,并且供给量需要维持在一定的水平,切实保障对经济适用住房边际效用高的群体购买,才能减少公共住房福利损失。经济适用住房是中国当前住房保障体系的重要组成部分,但在具体建设和条件交易过程中,存在各种各样的弊端,突出表现在：经济适用住房供应量不足、建设面积超标、购买资格审核不严、建设资金不足以及销售价格失控等。地方政府与房地产开发商博弈的经济行为,影响到经济适用住房的定价和供给量。其中经济适用住房的售价问题,直接涉及到所有有资格的购买者,经济适用住房保障功能难以有效发挥。研究采用Stackelberg微分博弈模型,演绎了经济适用住房定价、供给量和政府补偿的收敛趋势。文章基于国内外的研究最新进展,首先分析了全国经济适用住房供给、需求和价格水平现状,得出其现存问题及原因,并阐述经济适用住房定价的理论基础；其次基于理论层面的Stackelberg寡头竞争和价格领先竞争模型基础之上,重新假定了模型的假设条件,改进并构建了新的Stackelberg微分博弈定价模型,模拟参与其定价过程中各局中人的博弈策略空间；最后通过案例对比研究,分别采用新建立的Stackelberg微分博弈模型和关联度模型,模拟高度发达地区,发达地区,一般地区,欠发达地区和贫穷地区,得出不同地区社会经济发展水平下,相对合理的经济适用住房价格水平,并提出合理且具操作性的建议。研究经济适用住房的定价机制是非常必要和有意义的。在理论上,丰富和拓展了现有的房地产市场价格理论；在实践上,为限定经济适用住房价格的地方政府提供切实可行的决策依据,为开发建设经济适用住房的房地产开发商提供策略支持,为购买经济适用住房的购房消费者提供较准确的价格信息,同时对某一地区经济适用住房的定价具有一定的参考价值,更好地解决中低收入家庭的住房困难问题。
[Abstract]:The academic discussion and the social public opinion about the debate of economic and applicable housing are becoming more and more intense, especially the pricing of affordable housing has been questioned widely. The purpose of the study is to explore the pricing mechanism of affordable housing. Theoretical and empirical studies, qualitative and quantitative research are used in this study. In this paper, the differential game model is used to simulate the economic behavior of the participants in the affordable housing pricing, and to explain the rationality of the pricing mechanism of the affordable housing. The result is that the formation mechanism of affordable housing price depends on the long-term game process between local government and real estate developers. The government can not compensate indefinitely, and developers are not willing to build a large number of affordable housing. Its price tends to be balanced step by step, the simulation result accords with the reality. The conclusion is that the incentive intensity adopted by the local government and the profit pursuit power of the real estate developers drive the pricing process of the affordable housing, the affordable housing can not be abandoned, and the supply needs to be maintained at a certain level. In order to reduce the loss of public housing welfare, the group with high marginal utility of affordable housing can be effectively guaranteed. Affordable housing is an important part of the current housing security system in China. However, in the process of concrete construction and conditional trading, there are various disadvantages, such as insufficient supply of affordable housing, excessive construction area, The purchase qualification examination is not strict, the construction fund is insufficient and the sale price is out of control and so on. The economic behavior of local governments and real estate developers affects the pricing and supply of affordable housing. The price of affordable housing is directly related to all eligible buyers, and the function of affordable housing security is difficult to play effectively. In this paper, Stackelberg differential game model is used to deduce the convergence trend of affordable housing pricing, supply and government compensation. Based on the latest research progress at home and abroad, this paper first analyzes the current situation of the supply, demand and price level of affordable housing in the whole country, finds out the existing problems and reasons, and expounds the theoretical basis of the pricing of affordable housing. Secondly, on the basis of Stackelberg oligopoly and price-leading competition models, the assumption conditions of the model are re-assumed, and a new Stackelberg differential game pricing model is improved and constructed. Finally, through the comparative study of cases, the newly established Stackelberg differential game model and the correlation degree model are adopted to simulate the highly developed regions and the general areas. In the underdeveloped areas and the poor areas, the relatively reasonable price level of affordable housing is obtained under the social and economic development level of different regions, and the reasonable and operable suggestions are put forward. It is necessary and meaningful to study the pricing mechanism of affordable housing. Theoretically, it enriches and expands the existing real estate market price theory. In practice, it provides a practical basis for local governments to limit the price of affordable housing. It provides strategic support for the development and construction of affordable housing developers, provides more accurate price information for the buyers of affordable housing, and has a certain reference value for the pricing of affordable housing in a certain area. Better solve the housing difficulties of middle and low income families.
【学位授予单位】：昆明理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.23

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