居民消费价格指数影响因素差异性研究

发布时间：2019-05-18 21:54

【摘要】：21世纪以来,我国居民消费价格指数的波动幅度变大,基本呈上升趋势,食品、烟酒、衣着、家庭设备等八大类居民消费价格指数的波动特征也各不相同,而且农村的居民消费价格指数持续高于城市。这些不仅严重影响到我国居民的正常生活消费,而且也大大制约着我国经济的全面健康发展。因此,有必要对我国食品、烟酒等八大类以及城乡居民消费价格指数之间主要影响因素的差异性进行研究。立足新时期,本文基于资产价格、家庭脆弱性和人民币指数等因素进行比较分析,以期对我国居民消费价格指数的影响因素有更为清晰的了解和认识。本文首先运用广义矩估计(GMM)方法,将收入、利率和人民币指数作为控制变量,重点研究资产价格和家庭脆弱性等因素对全国居民消费价格指数的影响程度。结果表明：总体与八大类居民消费价格指数的影响因素基本趋同、略有差异。居民消费价格指数具有较强的短期持续性,尤其是在食品、医疗、教育和住房这四类当中；资产价格对居民消费价格指数有显著的推动作用,而且房地产价格的影响程度大于股票价格；家庭脆弱性和人民币指数也会对居民消费价格指数产生较大影响。基于资产价格和家庭脆弱性这两个重要因素,本文接着又对城乡居民消费价格指数及其八大类的影响因素进行了比较分析。研究结果显示,城市和农村居民消费价格指数的影响因素存在显著差异性。与城市居民消费价格指数相比,农村居民消费价格指数不仅受到其自身短期持续性的较大冲击,还受到资产价格和家庭脆弱性的显著影响,特别是在衣着、住房、交通和教育四类居民消费价格指数上。因此,本文的研究从根本上把握了居民消费价格指数的波动趋势及影响因素,为我国降低居民消费价格水平、缩小城乡居民消费价格指数差距,提供了切实可靠的参考依据,具有重要的现实意义。
[Abstract]:Since the 21st century, the fluctuation range of consumer price index of Chinese residents has become larger, basically showing an upward trend, and the fluctuation characteristics of consumer price index of eight categories of residents, such as food, tobacco and alcohol, clothing, household equipment, etc., are also different. Moreover, the consumer price index of rural residents continues to be higher than that of cities. These not only seriously affect the normal living consumption of Chinese residents, but also greatly restrict the overall and healthy development of our economy. Therefore, it is necessary to study the differences of eight categories of food, tobacco and alcohol, as well as the main influencing factors between urban and rural residents' consumer price index. Based on the new period, this paper makes a comparative analysis based on asset price, family vulnerability and RMB index, in order to have a clearer understanding and understanding of the influencing factors of consumer price index of Chinese residents. In this paper, the generalized moment estimation (GMM) method is used to take the income, interest rate and RMB index as the control variables, and the influence of asset price and household vulnerability on the consumer price index of the whole country is studied. The results show that the influencing factors of consumer price index are basically the same and slightly different from those of the eight categories of residents. The consumer price index has a strong short-term sustainability, especially in the four categories of food, health care, education and housing; Asset price plays a significant role in promoting consumer price index, and the influence of real estate price is greater than that of stock price, and household vulnerability and RMB index will also have a great impact on consumer price index. Based on the two important factors of asset price and family vulnerability, this paper then makes a comparative analysis of the consumer price index of urban and rural residents and its eight categories of influencing factors. The results show that there are significant differences in the influencing factors of consumer price index between urban and rural residents. Compared with the consumer price index of urban residents, the consumer price index of rural residents is not only greatly impacted by their own short-term sustainability, but also significantly affected by asset prices and household vulnerability, especially in clothing and housing. On the consumer price index of four categories of residents in transport and education. Therefore, the study of this paper fundamentally grasps the fluctuation trend and influencing factors of the consumer price index of the residents, and provides a practical and reliable reference for reducing the level of the consumer price of the residents and narrowing the gap between the consumer price index of the urban and rural residents in our country. It has important practical significance.
【学位授予单位】：山西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F726

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