后信息经济时代的全球经济

发布时间：2018-05-24 03:50

  本文选题：信息经济时代 + 后信息经济时代　； 参考：《江苏社会科学》2013年01期

【摘要】：当前,世界经济进入一个典型的"弱势低速增长周期"。本文基于美国、欧洲、日本、印度等国家和地区的考察,研究发现:从历次全球经济周期更替的规律来看,这一弱势周期的形成归结于全球缺乏新的新兴产业尤其是支柱性新兴产业的支撑。20世纪50年代以来众多国家和地区尤其是美国最近30多年信息产业与信息经济的演变历程表明,信息经济时代与后信息经济时代的"拐点"已经到来。正是这一拐点的到来或者说信息经济的衰退构成了全球经济下滑的根本原因。基于这一视角的经济周期演变机理的分析表明,后信息经济时代全球经济周期的交替、更新需要与之相匹配的新兴产业的培育与支柱产业的形成,这也构成当前全球面临的共同战略任务,进而决定了全球将进入一个"典型的共同治理探索期"。
[Abstract]:At present, the world economy enters a typical "weak low-speed growth cycle." Based on the investigation of the United States, Europe, Japan, India and other countries and regions, this paper finds that: from the laws of successive global economic cycles, The formation of this weak cycle is attributed to the lack of the support of new emerging industries, especially the pillar emerging industries in the world. The evolution of information industry and information economy in many countries and regions since the 1950s, especially in the United States, shows that the information industry and the information economy have evolved in the past 30 years. The "inflection point" of the information economy era and the post-information economy era has come. It is the arrival of this inflection point or the recession of the information economy that forms the root cause of the global economic downturn. The analysis of the evolution mechanism of the business cycle based on this perspective shows that the replacement of the global economic cycle in the post-information economy era needs to be matched with the cultivation of the emerging industries and the formation of the pillar industries. This also constitutes a common strategic task facing the world, which determines that the world will enter a "typical period of common governance exploration".
【作者单位】： 江苏省哲学社会科学界联合会;南京审计学院经济学院;
【分类号】：F112;F49
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本文编号：1927578