我国高等教育发展与产业转型升级互动效应研究

发布时间：2017-12-28 21:00

本文关键词：我国高等教育发展与产业转型升级互动效应研究　出处：《山东财经大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：由于产业优化升级很大程度上受到人力资源、知识结构和科技进步等因素的制约,因此,以教学、科研、服务为三大主要职能的高等教育便成为推动我国产业转型升级与经济持续发展的重要动力,他们之间具有密切的相关关系。目前是我国加速推动产业与经济进行战略性优化调整的关键时期,强化“科教兴国”战略的实施迫在眉睫,因此,系统、全面的研究我国高等教育发展与产业转型升级之间的互动效应及影响程度对推动我国经济持续健康发展具有重要的理论意义和现实价值。本文首先对高等教育与产业转型升级间的相互影响机制进行了定性分析,认为高等教育可通过人才培养、知识结构以及个人教育收益率的调整等来影响产业的转型与升级,反过来,产业转型升级又通过提供物质资源、增加人才需求、引导学科调整等拉动高等教育在规模、结构、质量等方面的提升,以适应经济社会发展的需要;其次,根据我国高等教育与产业发展现状,利用1978~2013年相关统计数据,对我国高等教育发展与产业转型升级间的影响关系进行了定量研究。首先基于高等教育发展的规模、结构、质量以及产业结构的高级化与合理化、产业发展的两型化与转方式7个方面,构建了高等教育发展及产业转型升级的指标体系,并利用测算处理后的各指数时间序列数,进行变量间的Johansen协整检验与Granger因果关系检验,进而在构建的SVAR模型基础上,对各变量进行脉冲响应函数和方差分解,探讨各变量之间的动态响应关系与贡献程度。结果表明,本研究选取的7个变量之间存在协整关系,且存在格兰杰因果联系,高等教育与产业转型升级各变量之间相互影响,但高等教育各变量对产业转型升级各变量的冲击作用上下波动,正向影响不显著,贡献度最大不超过15%,基本处于10%以下,而产业转型升级对高等教育的影响在短期内基本为正向促进作用,贡献度相对较大。最后,本文采用广义生产函数模型,对我国高等教育发展与产业转型升级之间的贡献率进行了估算,得出产业转型升级对高等教育发展的贡献值约为22.41%,高等教育对产业转型升级的贡献率维持在2.38%左右,相较而言,我国产业转型升级过程对高等教育变动的影响作用较大。
[Abstract]:Due to a large extent by the industrial optimization and upgrading of human resources, knowledge structure and scientific and technological progress and other factors, therefore, the higher education to serve the teaching and scientific research, the three main functions has become an important driving force to promote the sustainable development of China's industrial upgrading and economic restructuring, has close relationship between them. There is a critical period of strategic adjustment to accelerate the industry and economy of our country, strengthen the "education" strategy is imminent, therefore, systematic and comprehensive study on interaction effect and influence between the development of higher education and industrial transformation and upgrading of our country to promote China's sustained and healthy economic development has important theoretical significance and practical value. This paper makes a qualitative analysis of the interaction mechanism between higher education and industrial transformation and upgrading, higher education through personnel training, knowledge structure and individual rate of return to education adjustment to influence the transformation and upgrading of industry, in turn, upgrade through ascension provide material resources and increasing the talent demand, guide the adjustment of disciplines such as pulling higher education in the aspects of scale, structure and quality of industrial transformation, in order to meet the needs of economic and social development; secondly, according to China's higher education and the current situation of the development of industry, the statistical data by using the 1978~2013 correlation, influence on the development of Higher Education and industrial transformation and upgrading of our country and the relationship between the quantitative research. Based on the 7 aspects of the two type of higher education development scale, structure, quality and advanced industrial structure and the rationalization of industrial development, and to construct the index system of higher education development and industrial transformation and upgrading, and use the index time series are estimated after the treatment, the Johansen cointegration relationship test and Granger causality test between the variables, and then based on the SVAR model, impulse response function and variance decomposition of the variables, to explore the dynamic response between each variable and the contribution of the relationship. The results show that there is a cointegration relationship between the 7 variables selected for this study, and Grainger causality, higher education and industrial transformation and upgrading the mutual influence between the variables, but the variables of higher education transformation and upgrading of industry impact variables fluctuate, positive effect is not significant, the biggest contribution is not more than 15% in 10%, following, and industrial transformation and upgrading of higher education in the short term is positive effect, the contribution is relatively large. Finally, this paper uses generalized production function model of between higher education development and industrial transformation and upgrading of China's contribution rate is estimated, it is concluded that the industrial development of higher education in the transformation and upgrading of the contribution value is about 22.41%, higher education transformation and upgrading of industry contribution rate remained at around 2.38%, in contrast, the impact of China's industry the process of transformation and upgrading of changes in higher education greatly.
【学位授予单位】：山东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：G649.2;F121.3

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