中国制造业产业结构空间关系与实证

发布时间：2018-01-11 01:27

本文关键词：中国制造业产业结构空间关系与实证　出处：《经济理论与经济管理》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文从空间角度对中国制造业产业结构问题进行了研究。通过设计产业结构空间相似性、辐射效应的测度方法,并在考虑空间相关性基础上设计产业结构演化模型,来研究中国制造业产业结构的空间相似度、空间辐射效应以及影响产业结构变动的因素。在空间分布上,制造业产业结构出现了北京、上海、广东、重庆四个优化省域,并以四个优化省域为中心,形成了四个制造业产业结构优化板块,且中心省域的制造业产业结构优化带动了周边省域的产业结构优化,空间影响及辐射效应明显。通过构建产业结构影响因素模型发现,中国制造业产业结构空间依赖关系明显,并且发现对外开放程度是影响制造业产业结构调整的重要因素,对外开放程度越高,产业结构越趋于优化;同时本文发现RD投入也是促使制造业产业结构优化的一个重要因素;人力资源结构在金融危机发生时期对制造业产业结构变动产生的影响并不明显,但在后危机时期对制造业产业结构优化产生了显著的正向影响。
[Abstract]:This paper from the perspective of space manufacturing industry structure of China. Through the design of industrial space structure similarity measure method, radiation effects, and considering the spatial correlation based on the design of the industrial structure evolution model, spatial similarity of China manufacturing industrial structure, space radiation effect and the influencing factors of industrial structure changes. In spatial distribution, the structure of manufacturing industry appeared in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Chongqing four provinces and four optimization, optimization of provincial as the center, forming a plate to optimize the industrial structure of four manufacturing, and manufacturing center of the provincial industrial structure optimization to optimize the industrial structure of surrounding provinces space, influence and radiation effect is obvious. By constructing the model of factors of industrial structure, the industrial structure of manufacturing industry China spatial dependence is obvious, and the opening process The degree is an important factor affecting the adjustment of industrial structure of the manufacturing industry, the higher the degree of opening to the outside world, more and more industrial structure optimization; at the same time this paper found an important factor of RD investment also contributed to the optimization of the industrial structure of manufacturing industry; human resource structure period influence on manufacturing industry structure change is not obvious in the financial crisis, but in the post crisis period has a significant positive impact on the industry structure optimization of manufacturing.

【作者单位】：兰州财经大学甘肃经济发展数量分析研究中心;兰州财经大学统计学院;中国人民大学统计学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金青年项目(16CTJ009)的资助
【分类号】：F424.0
【正文快照】： 一、引言产业结构是关系到经济发展质量的一个重要问题。一般宏观经济层面上所说的产业结构主要是指国民经济发展中各产业间的对比关系,这种对比关系的发展变化即为产业结构调整的过程。在经济发展过程中,政府和监管当局通常需要对产业结构的调整演化过程进行适度干预,目的

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