岐山小区工程项目风险分析与管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-27 05:41

本文选题：风险评价 + 全生命周期　；参考：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：就当前而言,房地产的有关建造设计项目进行合理的风险预估和管束是极其重要的。此外,由于此类建设项目在建造过程中被多种不稳定因素所影响的特殊性,例如国家对房地产所设立的一系列规定,需要稳定并且数量极大的金钱支持,并且建设的时间较长。由于以上种种原因,想要让房地产建设成功实施并达到理想的收益,必须对项目进行项目风险管理。本篇文章将岐山小区作为重点分析,针对此小区的建设项目风险管理的情况跟实际需求和实操的可能性,对此小区所现有的风险管理问题做出了详细的解决方案。第一要结合投资计划、收集招标投标的信息、如何实施作业等许多方面的讯息,去得出此小区所存在的风险问题,将从建设中所涉及到的各个项目在实施中可能会出现的问题进行汇总,明确了解最根源的问题出在哪里。从而才能去设立关于风险评价更加规范完整的指标体系,针对整个项目与各时间段运用模糊评价法的方式去得到判定出风险水平,以此便能得知最具风险的是哪一时间段。本篇文章以风险的识别评价作为判定标准,对岐山小区的建设风险提出了能够规避危险发生,并能及时解决出现的风险问题的一些具体建议,以此尽量降低损失。具体而言本文主要包含五部分内容,第一部分绪论,主要是对工程项目风险管理的研究背景、研究意义以及国内外的研究现状、研究思路和结构安排进行阐述。第二部分工程项目风险管理理论和方法研究,主要包含工程项目风险概念、工程项目风险特点、工程项目风险管理的定义和内容、工程项目风险管理的特点、工程项目风险分析的识别方法、工程项目风险分析的步骤、工程项目风险的成因及构成以及工程项目风险评价等基本的理论知识进行阐述。第三部分岐山小区建设项目风险管理应用研究,主要由岐山小区项目概况、岐山小区项目风险管理现状、岐山小区项目全生命周期的阶段划分以及岐山小区项目全生命周期风险管理体系的实施过程等几部分组成。第四部分是文章的重点部分,主要是通过对项目开发前期阶段的风险识别、建设阶段的风险识别以及租售阶段的风险进行识别,得出岐山小区项目面临的风险,接着对岐山小区项目投资决策阶段、项目开发前期阶段、建设阶段以及小区租售阶段的风险进行系统的评估。第五部分岐山小区项目风险管理对策及实施保障措施。通过论述得出岐山小区项目风险管理对策主要有:岐山小区投资决策阶段的风险应对策略、岐山小区开发前期阶段的风险应对策略、岐山小区建设阶段的风险应对策略以及岐山小区租售阶段的风险应对策略。岐山小区项目风险应对实施的保障措施有:提高风险防范意识,做好风险应对准备、加强引进培养人才,提升风险应对水平以及完善风险管理机制,提高风险应对能力。
[Abstract]:At present, it is extremely important for real estate construction and design projects to carry out reasonable risk estimation and regulation. In addition, due to the particularity of such construction projects affected by a variety of unstable factors in the construction process, such as a series of regulations set up by the state on real estate, it needs stable and substantial financial support, and the construction time is longer. Because of the above reasons, the project risk management must be carried out in order to make the real estate construction carry out successfully and achieve the ideal income. In this paper, Qishan district is analyzed as a key point. According to the situation of risk management of the construction project and the actual demand and the possibility of actual operation, the paper makes a detailed solution to the existing risk management problems in this district. First, we should combine the investment plan, collect information on bidding and bidding, how to carry out operations, and other aspects of information, to find out the risk problems existing in this community. Will be involved in the construction of projects in the implementation of the possible problems will be summarized, clear understanding of the root causes of the problem. In order to set up a more standardized and complete index system of risk assessment, the fuzzy evaluation method is used to determine the risk level for the whole project and each time period, so that we can know which time period is the most risky. This paper takes the risk identification and evaluation as the criterion, and puts forward some concrete suggestions to avoid the risk and solve the risk problem in time, so as to reduce the loss as far as possible. Specifically, this paper mainly includes five parts, the first part of the introduction, mainly on the project risk management research background, research significance and domestic and foreign research status, research ideas and structure arrangements. The second part studies the theory and method of project risk management, including the concept of engineering project risk, the characteristics of engineering project risk, the definition and content of engineering project risk management, and the characteristics of engineering project risk management. The identification method of engineering project risk analysis, the steps of engineering project risk analysis, the cause and composition of engineering project risk and the basic theoretical knowledge of engineering project risk evaluation are expounded. The third part of Qishan community construction project risk management application research, mainly by Qishan district project overview, Qishan district project risk management status, The whole life cycle of Qishan district project is divided into stages and the implementation process of the whole life cycle risk management system of Qishan district project is made up of several parts. The fourth part is the key part of the article, mainly through the risk identification of the early stage of the project development, the risk identification of the construction phase and the risk of the lease and sale phase, the risk of Qishan district project is obtained. Then the risk of Qishan residential project investment decision-making stage, project development stage, construction stage and residential rental phase is systematically evaluated. The fifth part of Qishan project risk management countermeasures and implementation measures. Through the discussion of Qishan district project risk management countermeasures are as follows: Qishan district investment decision-making stage of the risk response strategy, Qishan district development early stage of risk response strategy, Qishan construction phase of the risk response strategy and Qishan residential rental phase of the risk response strategy. The guarantee measures for implementing risk response in Qishan district are as follows: raising the awareness of risk prevention, preparing for risk response, strengthening the introduction and training of talents, improving the level of risk response, perfecting the risk management mechanism, and improving the ability of risk response.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.23

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