暗娼人群基数估计方法应用研究

发布时间：2018-02-25 00:02

本文关键词： AIDS 暗娼基数估计关键知情者枚举法　出处：《安徽医科大学》2008年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 目的通过利用关键知情者和枚举法两种方法估计样本地区暗娼人群基数,探讨利用关键知情者估计暗娼人群基数的可行性,以及存在的优势和不足,为其他地区开展此类研究提供理论与实践依据。方法利用文献分析、关键知情者排序和现场访谈分别确定分布知情者和局部知情者,由分布知情者提供暗娼活动场所在该市的分布情况,确定抽样框。依据局部知情者提供所有场所暗娼规模信息,汇总即得暗娼人群基数;采用枚举法按照场所类别各层抽样调查,计算各层调查样本的均数,推算,汇总,获得目标人群的估计数。结果(1)第一类场所(旅店业、文化娱乐业、公共浴池、美容美发场所)关键知情者为CDC相关人员、卫生监督相关人员、娱乐场所老板,第二类场所(路边店)关键知情者有出租车司机、CDC相关人员及路边店暗娼;(2)与不同类型关键知情者访谈结合绘制地图技术,基本可以确定暗娼活动场所在样本地区总体分布情况;(3)汇总关键知情者提供的信息估计样本地区暗娼基数占当地总人口数的0.24%,占15~49岁女性人口的1.36%;利用枚举法估计的人数占样本地区总人口数的0.25%,占15~49岁女性人口的1.42 %;(4)利用关键知情者估计暗娼人群基数与枚举法结果较为接近。结论招募适合研究需要的关键知情者并利用其提供的信息估计暗娼人群基数是方便易行的方法,且与枚举法相比可以更方便地接近暗娼活动场所并获取所需信息资源。
[Abstract]:Objective to estimate the population base of CSW in the sample area by using the two methods of key informants and enumeration, and to explore the feasibility, advantages and disadvantages of using the key informants to estimate the population base of CSW. Methods using literature analysis, ranking key insiders and on-the-spot interviews to determine the distribution of insiders and local insiders, respectively. The distribution of prostitution activity sites in the city was provided by the distribution of informed persons, and the sampling frame was determined. According to the information provided by local insiders on the scale information of all premises, the cardinality of the illegal sex workers was obtained. The enumeration method was used to calculate the average number of samples of each layer according to the site category, calculate, summarize and obtain the estimate of the target population. Results 1) the first category of places (hotel industry, cultural entertainment industry, public bath, etc.). The key insiders are CDC related personnel, health supervision personnel, entertainment site owners, The second type of places (roadside stores) key informants include taxi drivers, CDC related personnel and roadside shop prostitutes, and interviews with different types of key insiders combined with mapping technology. It can be basically determined that the total distribution of prostitution activity sites in the sample area the information provided by key insiders estimates that the base number of clandestine sex workers in the sample area accounts for 0.24% of the total population of the local population and 1.36% of the female population of 150-49 years old; using enumeration method to estimate the female population. The number of people counted is 0.25% of the total population of the sample area and 1.42% of the female population of 150-49 years old.) using key insiders to estimate the number of secret prostitutes is close to the result of enumeration method. Conclusion the key informants suitable for the research are recruited and used. The information it provides is a convenient and easy way to estimate the population base of clandestine prostitutes. And compared with enumeration method, it is more convenient to get access to prostitution activity sites and obtain the required information resources.
【学位授予单位】：安徽医科大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：R311;R183;R183

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